Chilton/Autauga Storm Intensifying…Becoming Severe

The good news is the first storm pulsed quickly to become severe, but just as quickly started to collapse. It is still producing tremendous rains just NE of Lineville and has put down a lot of lightning.

There is less wind shear today, so the storms will not be as organized. While they will still produce rain, lightning, some hail and even damaging winds, they will likely not be long-lived like yesterday.

The slow movement is indicative of the less dynamic atmosphere, and could lead to heavier rainfall amounts.

We are monitoring the storm in the Verbena area of Chilton County. It is intensifying. It is moving WSW and is quickly becoming severe. It now shows hail. It will be crossing I-65 south of Clanton.

New storm forming in Etowah County southeast of Altoona.

Storms are forming in the moisture axis that extends along the I-65 corridor in South Alabama up the I-85 corridor up into Northeast Alabama around Gadsden. They will continue to fire through the afternoon and will be prone to intensify quite rapidly.

WTNT35 KNHC 032043
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052008
400 PM CDT SUN AUG 03 2008

…TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE FORMS IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF
MEXICO…WARNINGS AND WATCHES ISSUED…

AT 4 PM CDT…2100 UTC…A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE LOUISIANA COAST FROM THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
WESTWARD TO INTRACOASTAL CITY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 4 PM CDT…2100 UTC…A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT WEST OF
INTRACOASTAL CITY TO PORT OCONNOR TEXAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 400 PM CDT…2100Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH…LONGITUDE 88.1 WEST OR ABOUT 85
MILES…140 KM…SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND
ABOUT 415 MILES…665 KM…EAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH…10 KM/HR…AND
A GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK…THE CENTER
OF THE CYCLONE WILL MOVE PARALLEL TO THE LOUISIANA COAST TONIGHT
AND MONDAY…AND APPROACH THE UPPER TEXAS COAST ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH…55 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS…AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
LATER TONIGHT OR ON MONDAY.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 1007 MB…29.74 INCHES.

TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.

THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ALONG THE THE LOUISIANA COAST WITH
POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 3 INCHES. ONCE THE SYSTEM
MOVES TO THE UPPER TEXAS COAST…TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION…28.2 N…88.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…WEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1007 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 700 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000
PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

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