Fine Weather Ahead

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The Southeast US from Alabama to South Carolina was blasted yesterday with another round of severe weather. But it sure looks like we have a couple of very fine days ahead of us as high pressure both at the surface and aloft become the prevailing pattern. But don’t get too complacent because the next system is already beginning to take shape over Southern California.

Today and Monday look for lots of sunshine with afternoon highs mid 60s today and lower and mid 70s Monday. Overnight lows will dip into the 40s.

As the high pressure pattern slips off to the east Tuesday, the closed low over West Texas will eject across the Central US as an open wave. A surface low will form into the vicinity of Tyler, TX (East Texas), and move northeast dragging a cold front through Central Alabama early Wednesday. The GFS is hinting at a somewhat slower speed on this system so timing may need to be adjusted in the future. Right now it looks like another overnight round of severe weather for Central Alabama – Tuesday night and early morning on Wednesday. This system looks very potent with the potential for supercells and bowing line segments. The upper jet structure looks favorable for a significant tornado outbreak if the lower atmosphere destabilizes enough. The rain is welcome, of course, but we sure don’t need any more severe weather. I’m sure lots of eyes will be watching how this one plays out again.

By the latter part of Wednesday the front is out of here and high pressure moves into the picture. The cool down will be short lived as we recover into the 70s for highs again during the latter part of the week. Sunday, March 23rd, could see another round of weather with another potential for some severe weather, but let’s get through the Tuesday-Wednesday system first.

Looking further ahead, the GFS promises a continued active pattern.

I enjoyed speaking at the Alabama Hiking Trail Society’s 6th annual conference yesterday. It was certainly an adventure with tornado sirens going off on a regular basis. James Spann will be back with the next edition of the Weather Xtreme Video bright and early Monday morning. I hope you have a great end to the weekend. God bless.

-Brian-

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