Ringling Bros.

Late Reports

| April 4, 2011 @ 6:54 pm | 5 Replies

LATE REPORTS:

Fayette 911 reporting deep water on highway 96 at Blue Ridge Cut…remember…turn around, don’t drown!

Tree blocking highway 78 (4900 block US 78 East) blocking road.

43 mph wind gust in Mt. Olive.

New Mesoscale Discussion from SPC is very ominous still…

000
ACUS11 KWNS 042351
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 042350
GAZ000-ALZ000-FLZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-050115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0353
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0650 PM CDT MON APR 04 2011

AREAS AFFECTED…NW GA…AL…SERN MS…ERN LA…WRN FL PANHANDLE

CONCERNING…TORNADO WATCH 95…96…

VALID 042350Z – 050115Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 95…96…CONTINUES.

…INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES /POSSIBLY STRONG/ THROUGH
MID-EVENING ACROSS CNTRL/SRN AL AND SERN MS….

23Z MESOANALYSIS PLACES A MESOLOW OVER ECNTRL MS WITH PERSISTENT
PRESSURE FALL AXIS NEWD INTO CNTRL/NERN AL. CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF
PRE-QLCS TSTMS HAVE ERUPTED AHEAD OF THE MESOLOW IN SERN
MS…PRESUMABLY GIVEN ACCELERATION OF THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW AND
INCREASING LARGE-SCALE ASCENT. THESE MORE DISCRETE CELLS SHOULD
PERSIST/ADVANCE ENE INTO CNTRL/SRN AL THROUGH THE EVENING WITH
HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TORNADOES IN AN 80 MILE CORRIDOR
CENTERED 30SSE OF PINE BELT MS-SELMA AL-25W ANNISTON AL.

BMX VWP SUGGESTS THE 0-1KM FLOW HAS BACKED AND ACCELERATED WITH
0-1KM SRH IN EXCESS OF 350 M2/S2 NOW. CONCERN IS THAT AS THE
DISCRETE CELLS MOVE INTO THAT AREA AND/OR INTERACT WITH THE
QLCS…TORNADO POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE. OTHERWISE…BOWS/LEWPS
WITHIN THE LINE WILL POSE AN ADDED DAMAGING WIND THREAT.

..RACY.. 04/04/2011

Category: Alabama's Weather, Severe Weather

About the Author ()

Bill Murray is the President of The Weather Factory. He is the site's official weather historian and a weekend forecaster. He also anchors the site's severe weather coverage. Bill Murray is the proud holder of National Weather Association Digital Seal #0001 @wxhistorian

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