Storms Developing

A few isolated storms have developed over western Alabama, but they are more numerous just over the border into Mississippi. Our Skywatcher in Livingston reported some pea-sized hail, and there was another report of penny-sized hail in Livingston just before 10 AM.

These storms are elevated at the moment, and that means they do not have roots near the surface, and the only threat from them will be rain and relatively small hail. The greatest potential for rain and isolated storms will be west of I-65 through 1 PM; however, a few showers will likely stray as far east as the Birmingham metro area this afternoon.

Farther west, the Storm Prediction Center is upgrading the Day One Outlook for Mississippi and Louisiana to a *MODERATE RISK.*

SPC Day One Outlook

They anticipate some significant (EF-2 or higher) tornadoes this afternoon and evening in this region:

Tornado Potential from SPC

We still expect the atmosphere to be a little more hostile toward severe thunderstorms (developing or sustaining them) tonight and tomorrow. We will have strong dynamics but very small instability; in other words, we have the truck to haul them but very little gasoline to get it all going. It does bear watching, though, especially near and south of US 80 Wednesday morning through early afternoon.

The rest of us are going to get a good soaking of more than 2 or 3 inches of rain in some spots.

-Jason
Follow me on Twitter: @simpson3340

Category: Alabama's Weather, Severe Weather