Weekend Dry But Turning Wet

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Our dryness has been showing, but it looks we are finally going to get a break in the dry weather after another glorious warm Fall weekend.

High pressure at the surface and a ridge aloft will keep us warm and dry today and Sunday. However, as the surface high moves off into the Atlantic, moisture will return to our west on Sunday producing an increased amount of clouds for us. I think the day will be dry, however, we could see rain into the nighttime hours and rain becomes especially probable after midnight and into early Monday morning. Temperatures over the weekend should be warm with highs in the 80 to 82 range.

Monday will be a cloudy, wet day with perhaps one half to one inch of rain for nearly all locations. Some of the storms could be strong which will also lead to higher rainfall amounts in some spots. While the rain chances drop back after Monday, we stay in a moist but mild pattern thanks to the strong southwesterly flow aloft. This means that the front will not have the required push to move through Central Alabama, so it will take up residence in the area through Thursday. Friday, the upper flow finally changes as the pattern shifts eastward with a ridge to our west. This should be enough to push the front on through the Southeast and clear the way for another great weekend including Halloween.

Because the front does stall out in the area, we are probably going to remain fairly warm from Tuesday through Thursday with highs primarily in the upper 70s. Friday and into the weekend could be much cooler for us as the front finally pushes on past with highs dropping back about 10 degrees while lows stay in the 40s.

Tropics have become a bit more active. Richard is finally making some progress as it takes a westerly to west-northwesterly trek. This motion should take Richard across Central America and into the Southwest Gulf of Mexico. The storm will weaken significantly, but it could survive as a depression. If it does, it will probably either recurve sharply ahead of the front discussed above or move into the Mexican coast and dissipate. The other two areas in the Atlantic do not show any immediate signs of development into tropical systems.

Early November continues to look active with a fairly progressive flow and another round of potentially wet weather around the 4th or 5th.

Severe weather is being outlooked to our west for today and again on Sunday. By Day 3 the threat is reduced, however, I think we could still see some isolated strong storms which will most likely translate into some heavier rainfall for some spots.

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I expect to have the next Weather Xtreme Video posted by 8 am or so tomorrow morning. Enjoy this fine warm Fall weather. Godspeed.

-Brian-

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