Subtropical Depression #17 Is Born

At 4 AM CDT, the National Hurricane Center designated the region of disturbed weather north of Puerto Rico as “Subtropical Depression Seventeen.” A “subtropical depression” is an area of low pressure over water that has some tropical and some non-tropical characteristics. The weather down near the surface is the same as a regular depression, though.

Here is the tracking map from NHC:

The official forecast is for the “subtropical depression” to gain more true tropical characteristics over the next 12 hours and become “Tropical Storm Otto” by tonight. Otto will have no impact on the Gulf; it will recurve into the Atlantic. Long-range guidance hints at more Caribbean or western Atlantic development in the next two weeks, but even then, climatology does not favor a northern Gulf Coast tropical cyclone:

-Jason
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