Sunny But Chilly

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This is the kind of day that defines Fall. A cold front has moved through Central Alabama with a nice northerly flow bringing cooler and drier air into the area. In fact, it appears likely that the afternoon highs will not get out of the upper 60s. And that strong northerly wind will make it feel a bit chillier. If you have outdoor plans, be sure to keep the wind in mind – it could make waterways a bit rough.

Look for temperatures to bottom out Monday morning in the lower 40s. That means some of the normally cooler locations are likely to dip into the upper 30s briefly.

The trough that has brought a real Fall feel to the Southeast will gradually move off the East Coast by Wednesday but we stay under a northwesterly flow regime. This means that we will see a gradual warming trend with highs Tuesday through Thursday in the 70s. By Friday and next weekend we could very well see highs back into the lower 80s. Lows stay mostly in the 40s to the end of the week when they should nudge into the 50s.

Dry is the word and with a relatively dry September, we really could use some rain. However there is none in the foreseeable future for the next week at least. The dry weather also keeps fire danger high, so be careful with any outside fires.

Tropics relatively quiet at the moment. NHC watching two areas of disturbed weather – one in the vicinity of the Windward Islands and another about half way between the Windward Islands and Africa. Neither of these areas is likely to develop into a tropical storm in the next several days.

Looking out into voodoo country, we are likely to stay dry through the middle of October. A strong trough moving through the flow shows promise for a rain event. Climatologically this is a fairly common occurrence for the middle of October. But when we get to the end of the GFS forecast cycle, we see a whooper of a closed low with a very strong trough over the eastern US. Somehow I think the GFS has gone bonkers with this but we’ll see!

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James Spann will be back with the next edition of the Weather Xtreme Video. Enjoy the lovely taste of Fall today and Monday. Make the day great and Godspeed.

-Brian-

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