Matthew More Interesting

SPECIAL NOTE: The latest NHC track forecast turns Matthew northward by Wednesday morning, moving north through the west part of the Yucatan and headed for the South Gulf of Mexico. Very interesting. He may grow back into a tropical storm after that and possibly even a hurricane. Bears watching. Here is the latest official advisory James has been pointing this out on his video discussions. Watch for his latest discussion between 2 and 4 this afternoon: The latest advisory:

WTNT35 KNHC 241752
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152010
200 PM EDT FRI SEP 24 2010

…MATTHEW ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR THE EASTERN TIP OF HONDURAS
AND NORTHERN NICARAGUA…TORRENTIAL RAINS ANTICIPATED…

SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT…1800 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…14.6N 83.0W
ABOUT 30 MI…45 KM SSE OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH…85 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 275 DEGREES AT 18 MPH…30 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…998 MB…29.47 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY…

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER WITH
HONDURAS…INCLUDING THE OFFSHORE ISLANDS
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS…INCLUDING THE OFFSHORE ISLANDS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
* PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA TO LIMON HONDURAS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* THE COAST OF BELIZE

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA…IN THIS CASE WITHIN
12 TO 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA …PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 200 PM EDT…1800 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH…LONGITUDE 83.0 WEST. MATTHEW IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH…30 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO WITH A GRADUAL
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK…THE CENTER OF
MATTHEW IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER EXTREME NORTHEASTERN
NICARAGUA WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. THEREAFTER…MATTHEW IS
FORECAST TO MOVE OVER NORTHERN HONDURAS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH…85 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. MATTHEW IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AFTER LANDFALL.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES…220 KM
TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE PLANE WAS 998
MB…29.47 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALREADY REACHING THE COAST
OF HONDURAS AND NICARAGUA WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA.
THESE WINDS SHOULD SPREAD INLAND LATER TODAY.

STORM SURGE…A STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE SOME COASTAL
FLOODING NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER OF MATTHEW MAKES
LANDFALL. NEAR THE COAST…THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE
AND DANGEROUS WAVES.

RAINFALL…MATTHEW IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS
OF 6 TO 10 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS…WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

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