Cold Front Arrives Tomorrow Night

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NOT MUCH CHANGE TODAY: We should reach the low 90s this afternoon with a partly sunny sky. We will hang on to the chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and early tonight, but most places will stay dry.

RAIN CHANCES INCREASE TOMORROW: A cold front should bring a marked increase in the number of scattered showers and thunderstorms tomorrow afternoon and tomorrow night. While it won’t rain everywhere, most places stand a good chance of at least seeing one or two passing showers or thunderstorms. With steep lapse rates, there might even be a storm that approaches severe limits during the peak of the daytime heating process. We should reach the low 90s tomorrow afternoon before the showers and storms knock temperatures down. The rain could linger well into tomorrow night with the low level forcing associated with the surface front.

Drier air moves into North Alabama Sunday, and we will not mention any rain for the northern counties of the state as the moisture is shunted down south. The high will be close to 90 Sunday, but dewpoints will be falling during the day so the day should feel fairly comfortable.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For tonight’s high school games, there is just a slight risk of any one high school football stadium seeing a shower since they will be isolated in nature. Otherwise, warm and muggy weather is the story again with temperatures falling from the mid 80s at kickoff to near 80 by the final whistle.

Tomorrow night Penn State visits Alabama at Bryant-Denny Stadium. There is a pretty decent chance of a passing shower or thunderstorm during the game, and the temperature will fall from near 83 at kickoff to 75 by the final whistle. The chance of rain during the game is about one in two, if you like the numbers game (most football fans do). UAB will be in Dallas to play SMU tomorrow night (an F2 tornado passed very close to their campus Wednesday night)… another warm and humid setting with a small risk of a shower or thunderstorm during the game. Temperatures will hover in the 80s. And, let’s not forget Jacksonville State (how can we forget after last week’s big win over Ole Miss)… they host Chattanooga tomorrow evening at 6:00. A shower or thunderstorm is possible during the game, with temperatures falling from the mid 80s at kickoff into the upper 70s by the fourth quarter.

NEXT WEEK: Dry is the word. Lots of sunshine each day next week, with highs around 90 and lows in the low 60s. The humidity will be low, and the cooler spots have a great chance of reaching the 50s early Monday and Tuesday morning.

TOPIC: TROPICS: Igor in the far eastern Atlantic weakened to a tropical depression last night, but is expected to regain tropical storm status today as it moves to the west/northwest. Conditions seem to favor this one becoming a major hurricane in a few days, but most of the better dynamic models recurve Igor well before reaching the east coast of the U.S.

A strong tropical wave in the southeast Caribbean is expected to become Tropical Storm Julia by the weekend as it moves to the west/northwest. There is a chance this one could move into the southern Gulf of Mexico early next week, but it also could move into either the Yucatan Peninsula, or even Central America. Too early to make the call, but certainly this will be one to watch.

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I have a weather program this morning at Helena Middle School… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 3:30 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

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