Generally Dry For A While

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THIS AFTERNOON: The sky is generally partly sunny across the great state of Alabama this afternoon after the illegal showers this morning. Temperatures range from 91 degrees at Muscle Shoals, to only 83 at Birmingham. The weakness in the upper ridge that provided those showers yesterday and this morning is fading, and we are looking at dry weather for the mid-week period.

REST OF THE WEEK: Mostly sunny days and fair nights through Thursday, with a high in the low 90s tomorrow, followed by mid 90s on Thursday. A surface front will pass through late Friday or Friday night, and will bring some risk of isolated showers or storms, but the chance of widespread rain looks small at this point.

LABOR DAY WEEKEND: The opening weekend for college football looks fantastic. Dry, continental air will cover the Deep South, meaning sunny pleasant days and fair cool nights Saturday through Monday. Highs will be in the mid 80s Saturday and Sunday, and guidance continues to trend downward for early morning lows. Looks now like most spots will be in the 57 to 60 degree range at daybreak Sunday and Monday, with potential for low to mid 50s across the cooler valleys of North Alabama. What a great preview of fall at just the right time. Monday will be a little warmer with a high around 90.

EARL: Scroll down for Dr. Tim’s excellent discussion on Earl. Both the GFS and the NAM bring the center of the hurricane within 100 miles of the Outer Banks of North Carolina late Thursday night; if that is correct it would mean hurricane force winds for the Outer Banks, but other models have the center more offshore. Earl will sideswipe Cape Cod late Friday night, and wind up over Nova Scotia Saturday.

FIONA: The tropical storm right behind Earl continues to struggle. Maximum sustained winds are only 40 mph, and it is having hard time due to the proximity to Earl and the upwelling from Earl and Danielle. Fiona should recurve well east of the U.S. Atlantic Coast. The GFS doesn’t develop the system at all.

GASTON? The wave behind Fiona in the East Atlantic looks pretty good; it has a great chance of becoming Tropical Storm Gaston later this week. More than likely, this one will recurve as well, but it is a little too early to be specific.

And, the wave train continues over the African continent; see the Weather Xtreme video for more details on tropical weather.

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