Dry Air Stays In Place

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We are on a holiday schedule today, so there will be only one Weather Xtreme video produced….

LOOKING GOOD: Our weather for north/central Alabama won’t change much today; dry air is in place with low dewpoints, so the day should be mostly sunny with a high around 90, and humidity values lower than average for early July. The deeper moisture will remain over the southwest corner of the state, where showers and storms are possible on the Alabama coast, and near Mobile.

REST OF THE WEEK: The GFS suggests we remain in dry air through Thursday, with showers around here being hard to find. Again the best moisture will remain to the south and west; we will probably need to mention some risk of an afternoon shower or storm Thursday for West Alabama. Then, on Friday, scattered showers and storms will be possible statewide as moisture increases, the upper ridge weakens, and a surface front approaches from the northwest. Highs should be mostly in the low 90s; the GFS was trying to print upper 90s around here late this week during the weekend runs, but that doesn’t make much sense. Looks like highs will be in the 90 to 94 degree range.

WEEKEND PEEK: Saturday will be a day with a decent chance of a few showers and storms around with the surface front coming through. Watch the Weather Xtreme video and you will see the 00Z GFS actually pushes the surface boundary all the way to to Montgomery by Sunday morning, which would mean drier air and lower humidity on Sunday, but we won’t buy into that just yet. We all know fronts have a hard time moving through here in July, so for now we will hang on to some risk of scattered showers and storms on Sunday.

TROPICS: Watch the Weather Xtreme video for details; there are four suspect areas monitored by NHC. One is a weak surface low in the northern Gulf; this one will move inland before having a chance to get it’s act together. There are others east of the Bahamas, and near the Leeward Islands, but the one with the most promise is over the western Caribbean. Most of the dynamic models bring this across the Yucatan, and toward the Texas coast as a tropical storm later this week. One way or another, this one more than likely won’t directly impact the oil spill or the Central Gulf Coast.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 30 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. You can even listen here on the blog; look for the player on the top left. We will be running on a different production schedule this week; we will record this week’s show tonight at 8:30 p.m. CDT, and next week’s show will be recorded tomorrow night at 8:30 p.m. CDT (due to vacation schedules). You can watch and listen to both shows live on uStream, and of course they will be available for download on the web or iTunes as always.

FOLLOW ALONG: Here are our weather team Twitter accounts….

I hope many of you are getting the day off… one way or another enjoy the day and the quiet weather!

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