The Warm-Up Continues

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FINE FALL WEATHER: How about a deep blue, sunny sky today with a high between 67 and 71? That is what we will enjoy today; doesn’t get much better than this after a clear, cool, crisp morning. The colder spots are down in the low to mid 30s, with most official reporting stations between 37 and 40. The morning chill will fade quickly with a strong autumn sun. Tomorrow will also be a delightful day with lots of sun and a high in the low to mid 70s.

WET WEATHER BEFORE THE WEEK IS OVER: An upper trough will approach Alabama later in the week, and with moisture from Tropical Storm Rick entrained in the system, we figure a pretty decent little rain event is ahead for our state Thursday night, Friday, and Friday night. Rain amounts of one to two inches are likely from about 4:00 p.m. Thursday through 12:00 midnight Friday night. The rain won’t be continuous during that time frame, but it could rain at any time, and the rain could be occasionally heavy. For now we don’t expect any serious problems with severe thunderstorms due to marginal instability values, but there should be some thunder and lightning along the way.

THE WEEKEND: Getting into a little model madness now; the 00Z GFS is not as deep with the upper trough over the east Saturday, and it hangs a little of it back over Southwest Texas. If this trend continues on the 12Z GFS we will raise temperatures a bit (for now we have a high in the mid 50s), but I still think clouds could linger much of the day, and a little light rain is possible over the Tennessee Valley, but not much. Sunday still looks like a sunny day with a high in the upper 60s.

NEXT WEEK: For now the first half of the week looks dry. An upper trough will pass through Monday, but no moisture means no rain. Showers show up by Thursday of next week; watch the Weather Xtreme video as I step you through every day next week, and the following weekend (which is race weekend at Talladega). Everything past Wednesday of next week is out in voodoo land, so use with caution.

STORM ALERT XTREME: Want to be trained as a storm spotter? Want to join the ABC 33/40 Skywatcher team? Our annual training event, Storm Alert Xtreme, is coming up on Saturday November 14 at the BJCC during the annual Birmingham International Auto Show. You will be trained by the best SKYWARN trainer in the nation, our own Brian Peters (he has trained over 6,000 Alabama storm spotters over the years). We encourage all of our Skywatchers to attend this every year; you simply cannot get enough training. We will begin at 9:30, and be out by 3:30. And, everyone that attends Storm Alert Xtreme gets free admission to the Alabama International Auto Show. There is no admission charge, and no need to register. Just show up, but get there early for a good seat. We had a packed house last year.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 30 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. You can even listen here on the blog; look for the player on the top left. Scroll down for the notes on last night’s show… great to have Bill Read, the Director of the National Hurricane Center, with us, along with Steve Harned, the Executive Director of the National Weather Association.

I have stops today at Greystone Elementary and Montevallo Elementary… the next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 3:30 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

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