Fine Spring Weekend
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Central Alabama is waking up to the coolest morning in nearly three weeks, but it will still be spring-like with a warm afternoon after a chilly start.
Surface high pressure along with the upper ridge will migrate east over the next several days allowing moisture to increase to our west. Looks like the good weather stays with us until late Tuesday for sure and perhaps into Wednesday before we see enough of a change to bring in clouds and rain chances. Once that happens we stay with clouds and rain chances probably through into the first half of next weekend.
The GFS is holding the ridge fairly strong even as it migrates to our east. This means that as one system ejects out of the Rockies it will ride northeast into the Ohio River Valley. But as that happens on Tuesday, a front edges closer to us meaning the possibility of clouds and some showers late Tuesday. This might hold off until Wednesday when the front is dragged into the area where it stalls until Friday.
On Friday an upper level trough much further south than other short waves this week should develop a good low pressure area over the Texas Panhandle that travels to our north but drags a front through here on Saturday. The Friday-Saturday time frame could be the stormiest and wettest as a warm from comes northward on Friday and then the front comes through early Saturday.
But the whole mess gets on by promising some dry weather for Sunday – perhaps a bit cooler. There are even some possibilities of linger moisture and a snow flurry or two, but this is edging on voodoo so there isn’t much point in doting on that at the moment.
Longer range GFS modeling suggests a front stalling across the area on April Fools Day with a very potent storm system a possibility on April 4th, a big day in the weather history of the US and the Southeast. This look today doesn’t appear quite as potent as it did yesterday, but we are in our spring severe weather season, so it is wise to be wary.
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Today has got to be better than yesterday. I awoke Friday morning to a water leak on my side of the water meter, but had the help of some great friends and neighbors to find the leak and get it fixed. But the old muscles are a tad sore this morning. I thank you for watching the Weather Xtreme Video. I anticipate having the next one posted by 8 am or so tomorrow morning. Enjoy the fine spring weather. Godspeed.
-Brian-
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