Warmer Days Ahead

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A COLD START: The colder spots have dropped down into the 10 to 15 degree range this morning… some 5:30 observations from our Skywatchers:

Scrougeout (Northeast Etowah County, northeast of Gadsden) 10
Sycamore 10
Hamilton 13
Coker 16

J.B. Elliott, the great Alabama weather legend, will run down a full list of lows later this morning.

WARMING UP: We will see progressively warmer weather through Friday; we expect a high today in the 40s; 50s tomorrow, and low 60s by Friday. In fact, the 00Z GFS is printing 66 for Birmingham on Friday. Sure sounds nice.

NEXT RAIN: The 06Z GFS is a little slower with our next rain event; it hints most of the rain will fall from about 3:00 a.m. until 3:00 p.m. Saturday. Still does not look like a major rain event; with amounts in the 1/4 inch range likely. The model is back on the idea of the surface boundary having enough southward push to reach Montgomery by Saturday night; if this is correct we figure Sunday will be dry and cool with a high around 50. I doubt if we see much sun Sunday, however.

NEXT WEEK: Watch the Weather Xtreme video and you can see how the 06Z GFS handles next week; it delays the rain event until the end of the week on Friday. I would not be surprised if future runs have the rain event back on Thursday at some point. Bottom line is that the first half of the week looks dry, with a decent chance of rain at some point during the latter half of the week.

VOODOO LAND: We continue to see hints of a decent rain event in the February 3-4 time frame, but no way to be specific at this point, or if there will be Arctic air involved. We will keep an eye on it.

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Busy today today… I will be doing weather programs at Oak Grove Elementary this morning, and at Brookwood Forest Elementary in Mountain Brook early this afternoon. I should be able to have the afternoon Weather Xtreme video loaded by 3:30. Enjoy the day!

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