What About Sunday?

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Most folks around here simply won’t make it out of the 20s today. Temperatures are considerably colder than guidance, which sure leads us to believe tonight could be just as cold as last night. I now figure most spots will be in the 10 to 15 degree range again, with single digits for the colder valleys. I have to wonder if some of the really cold spots up in Northeast Alabama could hit -1 by daybreak tomorrow. As always, it will be interesting to watch the temperature reports roll in. Bottom line: keep the cold wave precautions going tonight.

We will warm into the mid 40s tomorrow as a warm air advection pattern begins.

SUNDAY: A strong lobe rotating through the long wave trough over the eastern U.S. will bring clouds to Alabama tomorrow night; accordingly it won’t be as cold as recent nights; in fact it looks like most places will actually stay above freezing early Sunday morning. We do expect some precipitation to break out early Sunday morning; based on projected thickness values it looks like it will begin as light snow along and north of I-20, with a change to light rain by mid-morning. With surface temperatures expected to be above freezing, for now we don’t expect any accumulation or travel problems. And, if we do see any snow it should be very light. But, we will sure keep an eye on this situation for possible changes.

A few periods of rain are likely during the midday hours; then all of the precipitation will sweep eastward into Georgia by mid-afternoon.

MONDAY AND TUESDAY: Another surge of cold air moves into the state Sunday night; it now seems like we won’t get out of the 30s Monday and Tuesday as the Arctic cold continues. And, another impulse rotating through the flow will bring some risk of snow flurries on Tuesday, but once again the moisture looks very limited at time.

REST OF THE WEEK: We finally begin to warm-up Wednesday with a high near 50, and we should rise to near 60 by Thursday and Friday. The latter half of the week looks dry.

VOODOO COUNTRY: Still some hint at a good rain event in the January 27-28 time frame, but confidence is low on any specific event this far in advance. That is why we call this voodoo; no forecast; just peeking at model output for ideas and trends. Seems like the NAO goes positive during the last week of January, and then trends neutral as we get into February.

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I had a great time today seeing kids at Vestavia Hills/Cahaba Heights, Oak Mountain, and Greystone Elementary schools. Be looking for them on the KIDCAM at 5:00 and 6:00 on ABC 33/40 this evening! Brian Peters will have the Weather Xtreme video updates over the weekend; my next video will be posted bright and early Monday morning by 7:00 a.m.!

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