Some Rain In The Days Ahead

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CLOUDS RETURN TOMORROW: After a day of blue sky and sunshine, clouds will return to Alabama tomorrow, and the weather still looks rather unsettled for the latter half of the week. However, global models don’t look as wet for Alabama, and it now looks like the best chance of one inch of rain will be over the northwest corner of the state, with amounts closer to one-half inch for the Birmingham/Tuscaloosa/Anniston area.

VETERAN’S DAY FORECAST: It still looks like there is a decent chance there will be no rain for tomorrow’s big Veteran’s Day parade in Birmingham; the sky will be mostly cloudy with only a small risk of a shower with temperatures in the 60s. The best chance of a shower during the day tomorrow will be over Northwest Alabama.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY: Sure looks like the heaviest rain on these days will be setting up in a band from near Houston to Nashville. In Alabama, the heaviest rain should be over the northwest part of the state, with lighter showers elsewhere. We will mention the chance of showers on a daily basis, but model trends suggest the rain won’t be too heavy, and the risk of strong storms continues to fade with the cold front on Friday. Afternoon highs will be in the mid 60s on Wednesday, with values close to 70 on Thursday and Friday. Some thunder is possible, especially on Friday, but instability values simply don’t support severe weather at this time.

COLDER AIR FOR THE WEEKEND: Sure looks chilly for the weekend; highs in the low 50s on Saturday, and on Sunday parts of North Alabama won’t get out of the 40s. Looks like the coldest morning will come early Monday morning of next week with potential for a widespread freeze; the GFS MOS numbers continue to look too warm.

INTO THE LAND OF VOODOO: Check out the Weather Xtreme video and see what the GFS does around November 19-20; it brings a vert cold airmass down into Alabama, with a disturbance moving through the northern Gulf of Mexico. The model hints at a few snow flakes over North Alabama; this isn’t a forecast; just model output. It all might go away on the next run, but we will be watching. Temperatures during the latter half of November will generally be below average values for this time of the year in Alabama.

STORM ALERT XTREME: Want to be trained as a storm spotter? Want to join the ABC 33/40 Skywatcher team? Our annual training event, Storm Alert Xtreme, is coming up on Saturday November 15 at the BJCC during the annual Birmingham International Auto Show. You will be trained by the best SKYWARN trainer in the nation, our own Brian Peters (he has trained over 6,000 Alabama storm spotters over the years), and learn from one of the most brilliant weather researchers in the country, our own Dr. Tim Coleman. We encourage all of our Skywatchers to attend this every year; you simply cannot get enough training. We will begin at 9:30, and be out by 3:30. And, everyone that attends Storm Alert Xtreme gets free admission to the Alabama International Auto Show. There is no admission charge, and no need to register. Just show up, but get there early for a good seat. We had a packed house last year.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 30 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. You can even listen here on the blog; look for the player on the top left. We will record a new episode tonight; it will be available by 11:00 p.m. or so.

I had a great time today seeing the 3rd graders at Faucett-Vestavia Elementary in Northport; be looking for them on the KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

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