Now We Have Omar!

NOTE: Tropical Storm Omar will not churn the waters of our friend, the Gulf of Mexico, or bother any part of the USA.

Instead, he will start a northward track and then NE. After crossing Puerto Rico, he will head out over the open waters of the Atlantic. Here is the 10 am, CDT, advisory:
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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OMAR ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152008
1100 AM AST TUE OCT 14 2008

…DEPRESSION IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA STRENGTHENS INTO
TROPICAL STORM OMAR…

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS…THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS…AND THE EXTREME
EASTERN PORTION OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA TO CABO
ENGANO.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED LATER THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
ISLANDS OF ST. MARTIN…ST. EUSTATIUS…AND SABA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 AM AST…1500Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OMAR WAS
LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND RADAR DATA FROM CURACAO TO BE NEAR LATITUDE
14.0 NORTH…LONGITUDE 69.0 WEST OR ABOUT 355 MILES…570 KM…
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT 125 MILES…
200 KM…NORTH OF CURACAO.

OMAR IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH…4 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE EAST AND THEN NORTHEAST IS FORECAST TODAY…
WITH A SLOW INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH…65 KM/HR. GRADUAL
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES…
110 KM…MAINLY EAST THROUGH SOUTH OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB…29.56 INCHES.

OMAR MAY PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER
PORTIONS OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES…WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS EXTREME NORTHWESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL VENEZUELA AND THE NORTHERN GUAJIRA PENINSULA. THESE
RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION…14.0 N…69.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…EAST-SOUTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1001 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

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