Tropical Update

WONT41 KNHC 222041
DSAAT
SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
445 PM EDT MON SEP 22 2008

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA…
CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER THE EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC…IS BECOMING
BETTER DEFINED. HOWEVER…THE ASSOCIATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE POORLY ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME DUE TO UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLY
WINDS. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT… AND THE CENTER OF THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO
THE ATLANTIC NORTH OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. THEREFORE…THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
AT ANY TIME AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. REGARDLESS OF WHETHER OR NOT THIS SYSTEM BECOMES A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION…IT WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL OVER PUERTO RICO…THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS…AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC THROUGH MONDAY. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

INTERESTS IN PUERTO RICO…THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS…THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC…HAITI…THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS…AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM AND
ANY PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THEIR RESPECTIVE WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN/RHOME

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