RADAR CHECK: As you might expect on a June afternoon, some people are getting wet, while others are enjoying a sunny sky. Heavier storms at mid-afternoon were over Clay and Coosa counties, and over parts of Southwest Alabama between Demopolis and Camden. Showers and storms are moving east/southeast, and will slowly fade late tonight. Temperatures are mostly in the 80s.
A moist, unstable airmass will remain over the state through tomorrow, meaning the weather won’t change much. Some sun at times, and the chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms. While most of the showers will come during the afternoon and evening hours, a late night or morning shower can’t be ruled out. And, heavier storms will produce gusty winds, heavy rain, and lots of lightning. Afternoon highs will remain in the mid to upper 80s.
RADAR CHECK: Again this afternoon we have a random pattern of scattered, strong thunderstorms across Alabama. Storms today are moving slowly to the east/southeast, and are producing gusty winds, heavy rain, and lots of lightning. An outflow boundary approaching from the north could bring a band of more organized storms to Northwest Alabama over the next 5-6 hours; SPC has that part of the state under a “marginal risk” of severe storms (level 1 out of 5)….
NEW DAY, OLD FORECAST: More classic June weather is ahead for Alabama for the rest of the week. Moist, unstable air covers the state, and on a daily basis we will forecast a mix of sun and clouds with scattered showers and thunderstorms, most active during the afternoon and evening hours…. generally between 1:00 and 11:00 p.m. The chance of any one spot getting wet daily will remain in the 30/40 percent category, and where storms form they will be strong with gusty winds, heavy rain, and lots of lightning.
RADAR CHECK: Showers and storms are more widely spaced across Alabama so far today; heavier rain as I write this around 3:15 was near Alexander City… the storms in progress are just creeping along to the east. Additional showers and thunderstorms could form over the next few hours in random, scattered places. Temperatures are mostly in the mid to upper 80s.
QUIET THIS MORNING: As opposed to yesterday when a band of storms was producing flooding across Central Alabama, we have nothing showing up on radar this morning at daybreak. We do note some patchy dense fog, but that will dissipate by mid-morning.
A CALMER AFTERNOON: The radar is pretty quiet across the northern half of Alabama this afternoon in the wake of tropical downpours this morning that produced serious flooding across some of the central counties of the state. A few scattered showers and thunderstorms are over Northwest Alabama, and also across the southern counties. Flash flood warnings remain in effect for a zone from Eutaw and Greensboro to Marion, Clanton, and Prattville for runoff from morning rain. Some communities had over four inches of rain in just a few hours.
ALBERTO OVER NORTHWEST ALABAMA: The center of former Subtropical Storm Alberto is near Moulton this afternoon, moving northward. It will be in Tennessee tonight, but it has left a deep layer of tropical moisture over Alabama with very high precipitable water values.
MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND: Our weather won’t change much Saturday; warm and humid with a mixture of clouds and sun along with scattered showers and thunderstorms, most likely during the afternoon and evening hours. The high will be in the mid 80s. Beyond that, our weather will be determined by the behavior of a tropical system in the northern Gulf of Mexico.
MUGGY MORNING: Again we are swimming in air featuring dewpoints up in the 70s this morning; all thanks to our friend Nate that blew through here Sunday. Precipitable water values remain over two inches, which is very high even for mid-summer. Today will be mostly cloudy with the risk of a few passing showers or thunderstorms; the higher coverage will come this afternoon and early tonight. And, we stay warm with a high in the low to mid 80s today.
AIR YOU CAN WEAR: While Nate is long gone, he left behind a pure, tropical airmass over Alabama this morning with dew points in the 70s. More like the middle of July instead of the middle of October. And, we have rain showers over parts of East and Southeast Alabama at daybreak…
SUN, HEAT, STORMS: Classic “dog day” weather will continue across Alabama through Friday; we will forecast a mix of sun and clouds each day with the usual daily round of “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms”. Most of the storms will come from 1:00 until 8:00 p.m… and the chance of any one spot getting wet will stay in the 30-40 percent category.
TYPICAL SUMMER PATTERN SETTING UP: Today looks like a pretty routine August day in Alabama; hot and humid with morning sunshine followed by scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Of course, a rogue shower or two is certainly possible this morning…
So far, the radar has been quiet across Alabama today. But, morning clouds are giving way to afternoon sun, and there is still potential for showers and storms to form during the next few hours. SPC has a “marginal risk” of severe storms defined for much of West and South Alabama.
Our long time friend, mentor, and charter Weather Factory member, J.B. Elliott, passed away on May 11, 2015. Click HERE to read James' tribute.
