Another Hard Freeze Tonight

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ANOTHER COLD ONE: Temperatures are not out of the 30s across North Alabama this afternoon despite a sunny sky, and with a clear sky and light wind, another hard freeze is ahead tonight. This will be a “radiational cooling” type night, meaning there will be a big temperature spread tomorrow morning. Colder valleys will drop into the mid teens, the warmest ridge tops will be in the upper 20s. We figure the average low will be around 20 degrees. Birmingham’s record low for November 19 is 18 set in 1903… that one is probably safe, but it will be close.

WARMER DAYS: The rest of the week will be dry with a warming trend. Mostly sunny days, fair nights… we reach 50 degrees tomorrow, mid to upper 50s Thursday, and low 60s Friday. The average high for this time of the year in Birmingham is 64.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Saturday will be dry and pleasant with a high in the mid to upper 60s, but clouds will begin to increase during the afternoon hours.

A vigorous storm system will bring rain and thunderstorms to Alabama later in the weekend; at this point it looks like the main window for this will come from midnight Saturday night through 12:00 noon Sunday. The 12Z GFS is advertising a 60-70 knot low level jet (around 5,000 feet), which is very favorable for severe storms, along with low level bulk shear values to 40 knots.

The main limiting factor is the lack of surface based instability, and for that reason it could be the highest threat of severe storms will come over the southern quarter of Alabama. We will keep an eye on model trends in coming days and make adjustments to the forecast as needed; see the Weather Xtreme video for all the maps, graphics, and more details.

THANKSGIVING WEEK: A cold front will pass through the state Monday with a chance of showers, the rest of the week looks dry, with cool days and chilly nights. By Wednesday and Thursday we expect a high around 50, with a low around 30 degrees. Below average, but not as cold as the air we are dealing with now. Keep in mind, however, this is out in “voodoo land” and this could change.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Very nice weather for the high school football games across North/Central Alabama Friday night; mostly clear with temperatures falling from 55 at kickoff, into the upper 40s by the final whistle.

Saturday is homecoming at the Capstone in Tuscaloosa, and for the football game (Alabama vs Weestern Carolina) that kicks off at 3:00 p.m.. the sky will become mostly cloudy during the game, but the weather should be dry. Expect a kickoff temperature near 67 degrees, falling to near 60 by the fourth quarter. Pretty comfortable, especially compared to last weekend.

Auburn will host the Samford Bulldogs Saturday evening at Jordan-Hare Stadium (6p CT kickoff)… mostly cloudy with 60 degrees at kickoff, and mid to upper 50s by the fourth quarter. No rain expected.

And, a big game for the UAB Blazers; they host Marshall at Legion Field (11:00a CT kickoff). Clouds will increase during the game, but no rain. Temperatures will rise from near 64 at kickoff, to near 67 by the fourth quarter.

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I enjoyed seeing the senior adults today at Parker Memorial Baptist Church in Anniston… be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Tags: cold

Category: Alabama's Weather