Warm October Weather
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RADAR CHECK: Showers and storms that were over the Tennessee Valley region of North Alabama earlier today have moved out of the state, and there is basically nothing on radar at mid-afternoon; quite the contrast to the radar images we had at this time yesterday. Temperatures are generally in the low 80s with a partly sunny sky.
REST OF THE WEEK: The large scale upper trough that was over the eastern U.S. will weaken and lift out, and a ridge of high pressure aloft will begin to build, meaning unseasonably warm weather. We expect highs mostly in the mid 80s, although some spots could reach the upper 80s; each day will feature a mix of sun and clouds.
There will be enough moisture for a shower or two each day in spots, but they will be pretty widely spaced. The GFS hints the best coverage of showers or storms will come on Thursday as a warm front lifts northward. Even then it will a “hit and miss” proposition. Many communities will be dry tomorrow through Friday.
THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: A cold front to the north will stall out over Tennessee. On Saturday, the best chance of showers will be close to the Tennessee border; most of the state will be warm and dry with a high in the 80s. The front will sag a little southward Sunday and Monday, with a better chance of showers and storms on these two days. But, they will be scattered in nature, and some places won’t see very much rain. The high Sunday will be in the low to mid 80s, but Monday’s high will be closer to 80 degrees.
Keep in mind October is our driest month of the year, so getting a good, widespread, soaking rain event this time of the year can be difficult. Synoptic scale rain events increase in November and December as we get into the late fall tornado season.
FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school games Thursday night; a few isolated showers are possible during the first half, otherwise mostly fair with temperatures falling through the 70s. Then, on Friday night, most stadiums will be dry with only a slight risk of a brief evening shower. Again, temperatures will fall through the 70s with a mostly fair sky.
On Saturday, Auburn will take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs in Starkville (2:30p kickoff). The sky will be partly sunny with a kickoff temperature near 85 degrees; just a slight risk of a brief shower or storm during the game. Temperatures will fall to near 80 degrees by the final whistle.
Alabama will be on the road as well; they play Arkansas at Fayetteville (5:00p kickoff). Showers and storms are a good possibility, mainly during the first half of the game. The temperature will drop from near 65 degrees at kickoff, into the 50s by the fourth quarter. Take the rain gear.
UAB will celebrate homecoming Saturday; the Blazers host North Texas (2:30p kickoff) at Legion Field. The sky will be partly sunny, and temperatures will fall from near 85 degrees at kickoff to around 80 by the fourth quarter. Only a small risk of a shower during this game.
NATIONAL SHRIMP FESTIVAL: Delightful weather for the big event at Gulf Shores Thursday through Sunday. Mostly sunny warm days, fair nights. Highs in the 80s, lows in the 60s.
TROPICS: A disturbance over the far southwest Caribbean has come potential for slow development by the weekend. Some global models move this up into the southern Gulf of Mexico next week; see the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.
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I enjoyed seeing the residents at St. Martins In The Pines today… be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…
Category: Alabama's Weather
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James Spann is one of the most recognized and trusted television meteorologists in the industry. He holds the AMS CCM designation and television seals from the AMS and NWA. He is a past winner of the Broadcast Meteorologist of the Year from both professional organizations.Subscribe
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