Disorganized Karen Expected to Stay South of Alabama Coast

Today, Karen continues to struggle to get anything going. During the late morning hours, there were a few thunderstorms that developed and tried to to wrap around the center of circulation, but as we have seen much of the week, dry air and wind shear put an end to that. The center of circulation remains exposed and displaced from the main area of convection and Karen is expected to continue to weaken.

Latest information from the National Hurricane Center about Karen.

…KAREN STILL A TROPICAL STORM…

SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…28.1N 91.7W
ABOUT 115 MI…185 KM SSW OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
ABOUT 170 MI…275 KM WSW OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…N OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 MPH…4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1007 MB…29.74 INCHES

Now what to expect the next few days. Karen did stall out earlier today, but has since started to move slowly to the north again. She is still expected to turn northeast and begin to accelerate that direction. The official track from the NHC has Karen making landfall in southeastern Louisiana tomorrow morning and then with the increase in forward speed a more eastward track is now expected. This will allow Karen to move back into the extreme northern Gulf of Mexico, but she will now stay south of the Alabama Coast.

Karen will weaken to a depression over the next 24 hours and now that the track keeps here offshore, she will move inland much farther east, now near the Big Bend of Florida. All tropical storm watches and advisories have been cancelled for the Alabama and northwest Florida coast.

Tags: karen

Category: Alabama's Weather, Tropical