Generally Dry Again Today

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

A TOUCH OF FALL: Sure feels good this morning. Our Skywatcher at Black Creek (just northeast of Gadsden), Vic Bell, reports a low of 60 degrees. Haleyville had 61 degrees at 6:00. Today will remain generally rain-free for the northern half of the state, with ample sunshine and a high in the upper 80s. Any showers this afternoon will be few and far between.

THE WEEKEND: The high resolution NAM model actually shows a band of showers entering northwest Alabama late tonight, after midnight. These showers are ahead of a surface front, and we will continue to mention a chance of scattered showers and storms statewide tomorrow. It won’t rain all day, and the sun should peek out at times…. the high should be in the mid 80s.

Then, on Sunday, a new surge of drier air blows into North Alabama. We will forecast a good supply of sunshine Sunday, with lower humidity levels. Showers should be confined to the southern counties of the state, and even there they should be pretty widely scattered. Temperatures remain below average Sunday with a high in the mid to upper 80s.

NEXT WEEK: Monday morning will bring another fall preview; I do think the cooler spots reach the upper 50s… most communities will enjoy a low between 60 and 65 degrees. Monday will be rain-free with a good supply of sunshine. The chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms will return over the latter half of the week.

AT THE BEACH: Expect a good 7 to 9 hours of sunshine each day through early next week with just a few scattered showers around from Panama City west to Gulf Shores. On the immediate coast, highs will be in the upper 80s, and the sea water temperatures remain in the low to mid 80s.

DORIAN: The tropical storm in the Central Atlantic doesn’t look very healthy this morning. The system is fighting dry air and shear, and is not expected to reach hurricane strength anytime soon. In fact, there is a chance the system degenerates into an open wave at some point over the next 5 to 7 days due to the hostile conditions, and possible interaction with Hispaniola early next week.

If Dorian does hang in there, there is great uncertainty in the ultimate destination. The NCEP ensemble guidance shows a huge spread; some members recurve Dorian off the East Coast of the U.S…. some run it up the East Coast, and others bring it into the Gulf of Mexico. If you have a beach trip or cruise planned next week, I would not worry about this now, but just keep an eye on it. Way too much uncertainty involved in the long range forecast.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Tags: dry

Category: Alabama's Weather