Severe Storms Possible Tomorrow Night
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WET WEATHER RETURNS: We have scattered light rain across Alabama early this morning; lots of reports of sleet and a little light snow late last night, but temperatures as expected have remained above freezing and there are no issues related to travel other that wet roads. Temperatures at daybreak are mostly in the mid to upper 30s.
We will forecast a few periods of light rain today with a high only in the low to mid 50s; parts of North Alabama might hold in the 40s all day.
OUR WEEKEND: The weather will be unsettled, wet, and stormy at times. I do believe it will be raining tomorrow morning over a good part of the state, but on the positive side there is a decent chance there will be a break in the rain tomorrow afternoon into the evening hours. Temperatures will rise into the upper 60s as warmer air pushes in from the south. Maybe a touch of thunder tomorrow morning, but no severe weather during the day.
SEVERE WEATHER RISK TOMORROW NIGHT: SPC has pulled the severe weather risk (a standard “slight risk”) northward to near the Tennessee River tomorrow night as it looks like surface based instability will arrive pretty much statewide ahead of a deepening surface low to the west.
The main window for severe weather in Alabama will come from about 6:00 p.m. tomorrow through 6:00 a.m. Sunday. The core risk could very well be after midnight and into the pre-dawn hours Sunday. The primary threat will come from hail and damaging straight line winds, although projected bulk shear and helicity numbers hint an isolated tornado is not out of the question.
The highest severe weather risk will be over the southern half of Alabama, where instability values are higher. SPC has an enhanced 30 percent risk south of a line from Tuscaloosa to Montgomery to Eufaula. The tornado threat will be higher in this region as well.
This is Palm Sunday weekend, and spring break is beginning or ending for many, so lots of people will be on the road. Just be sure you can hear severe weather watches and warnings if they are needed; good smart phone apps like MyWarn and iMap WeatherRadio are great ideas; you won’t miss a warning wherever you are.
SUNDAY: Storms should wind down early Sunday. The day will be mostly cloudy and breezy, and cooler air will begin to move into the state. The high will be in the 60s, but that could come during the morning. Would not be surprised if temperatures begin to fall Sunday afternoon. There could be a tough of lingering light rain or drizzle.
NEXT WEEK: Cold and dry. Sunny days, clear nights through Thursday. I don’t think we get out of the 40s Tuesday despite a sunny sky, and a freeze is likely Tuesday and Wednesday morning. Looks like most places will get down into the 20s early Wednesday.
VOODOO LAND: The GFS has been very persistent at the idea of a severe weather setup either Easter Sunday or the following day (Monday April 1)… see the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.
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I will be doing a weather program this morning at Hamilton Elementary School in Marion County… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!
Category: Alabama's Weather