Hurricane Rafael Update: System Remains Strong Over the Gulf; Expected to Stay Over Water

Rafael has been able to hold itself together for longer than initially expected; it remains a category 2 hurricane with winds up to 110 mph. However, it is expected to remain over the Gulf where it will eventually weaken.

Here are the latest stats from the NHC:

SUMMARY OF 900 AM CST…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
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LOCATION…24.5N 88.8W
ABOUT 230 MI…365 KM NNE OF PROGRESO MEXICO
ABOUT 535 MI…860 KM E OF MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…110 MPH…175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH…15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…961 MB…28.38 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

This graphic by the NHC is an unusual-looking one. That’s because Rafael is expected to continue heading west over the next couple of days, then make a sharp town south late this weekend. We expect Rafael to remain over the Gulf as it weakens into a tropical depression by the middle of next week.

ALABAMA COAST: Expect dangerous surf and rip current conditions along much of the Gulf Coast shore line over the coming days. Remain vigilant if getting in the ocean, and always refer to local authorities regarding the status of the water.

We are monitoring another area that could see tropical development. Right now, the NHC has an area near the Greater Antilles set at a 20% chance of development over the next 7 days. We will continue to keep an eye on this.

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