Afternoons Stay Warm; A Few Showers Over The Weekend
RADAR CHECK: Most of Alabama is rain-free this afternoon; we note just a few showers around Mobile Bay. With a mix of sun and clouds temperatures are in the upper 70s and low 80s. Huntsville reached 84 degrees at 2p CT… that is a new record high for November 7 (the old record was 82 set last in 2023). The sky becomes mostly cloudy late tonight, but showers will remain few and far between.
For the weekend, a few scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible both Saturday and Sunday… chance of rain for any one community is 30-40 percent Saturday, and 50-60 percent Sunday.. But, the rain distribution won’t be very even, and it certainly isn’t the kind of rain that will break a drought. The high Saturday will be near 80, followed by low to mid 70s Sunday.
NEXT WEEK: Global models are not in good agreement about the weather situation next week making for a low confidence forecast. We will mention the chance of a few isolated showers Monday and Tuesday. Then, a cold front has potential to bring a more meaningful risk of rain by Wednesday or Thursday, followed by a change to much cooler air. Highs drop into the 60s by the end of the week, with lows down in the 40s. See the video briefing for maps, graphics, and more details.
TROPICS: Hurricane Rafael, with winds of 105 mph, is about 260 miles west/northwest of Havana Cuba this afternoon in the Southeast Gulf of Mexico. It is moving to the west/northwest at 9 mph.
A ridge over the northern Gulf will keep Rafael well to the south of the Central Gulf Coast… it will move westward over the next few days. By early next week it will likely be sheared apart, and most likely will be no threat to land.
DROUGHT MONITOR: The new drought monitor was released this morning; 83 percent of Alabama is now in a drought; about 30 percent of the state is in a D2/D3 (severe/extreme) drought.
FOOTBALL WEATHER: A few isolated showers are possible for the high football playoff games across Alabama tomorrow night, but most stadiums will be dry. The sky will be mostly cloudy with temperatures falling through the 70s.
Saturday UAB will host UConn at Protective Stadium in downtown Birmingham (1:30p CT kickoff); expect a mix of sun and clouds with an outside risk of a passing shower during the game. Temperatures will hover in the 78-81 degree range.
Alabama will be in Baton Rouge to take on LSU Saturday night (6:30p CT kickoff). The sky will be cloudy with a shower or two possible … temperatures will fall slowly through the 70s. Some lightning/thunder can’t be ruled out, but isn’t likely.
ON THIS DATE IN 1957: A historic tornado outbreak impacted southeast Texas and southwestern Louisiana. Ten people were killed.
ON THIS DATE IN 2001: Typhoon Lingling struck the southern Philippines, killing 171 people with 118 missing in Camiguin. The typhoon then struck Vietnam 5 days later, killing an additional 18 people.
Look for the next video briefing here by 6:00 a.m. tomorrow..
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