Showers Possible Through Tomorrow; Dry, Warm Weekend Ahead

RADAR CHECK: A band of showers has moved into Northwest Alabama this afternoon ahead of a surface front… we also note a few showers over the southwest counties of the state as well. Showers are possible through tomorrow as the front stalls out and slowly dissipates; the most widespread and beneficial rail will be over the northwest quarter of the state. Amounts will be very light and spotty for areas south and east of Birmingham… many communities there won’t see a drop.

Lingering showers should end late tomorrow afternoon, and the weather looks dry across Alabama tomorrow night through the weekend with warm days and pleasant nights. Highs will be in the low 80s Saturday and Sunday, with lows in the 60s.

NEXT WEEK: Forecast confidence is not especially high with inconsistent output from global models, but parts of the state could see some chance of rain by mid-week ahead of another surface front. If rain does fall amounts most likely will be light; highs will be around 80 Monday through Wednesday, then falling into the low 70s by Thursday and Friday. See the video briefing for maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICS: A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the southwestern Caribbean Sea during the next day or two. Gradual development is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend or early next week while the system drifts generally northward or northwestward over the central or western Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible during the next several days across portions of the area from Nicaragua southeastward and eastward to northern Colombia.

NHC gives it a 60 percent of development over the next seven days; most global models continue to show a weak tropical low meandering around the northern Caribbean or southern Gulf of Mexico.

Also, a trough of low pressure near Puerto Rico is producing widespread cloudiness and showers over the Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands, the northern Leeward Islands, and the adjacent waters of the Atlantic and the northeastern Caribbean. Slow development of this system is possible during the next 2-3 days as it moves west-northwestward near the Greater Antilles. After that time, this system is expected to be absorbed into the low pressure area over the Caribbean. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible during the next several days from the northern Leeward Islands westward across Puerto Rico and Hispaniola to eastern Cuba and the southeastern Bahamas. NHC gives this only a 10 percent chance of development.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school games tomorrow night most stadiums across Alabama will be dry with temperatures falling through the 70s, reaching the 60s by the fourth quarter.

Saturday Auburn hosts Vanderbilt at Jordan-hare Stadium (11:45a CT kickoff)… expect a good supply of sunshine with temperatures rising from near 78 at kickoff into the low 80s by the second half.

UAB will host Tulsa at Protective Stadium in downtown Birmingham (1:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be partly to mostly sunny with temperatures hovering around 80 degrees during the game.

Troy will host Coastal Carolina (3:00p CT kickoff); it will be a mostly sunny Saturday with temperatures falling from near 82 at kickoff into the 70s by the fourth quarter.

ON THIS DATE IN 1991: A severe winter storm, dubbed the Great Halloween Mega Storm, struck the upper Midwest. Minnesota bore the brunt of this storm. Blizzard conditions occurred with winds gusting frequently to 40 and 50 mph. By the time it was all over on November 2nd, Duluth recorded 37 inches, Minneapolis 28 inches, International Falls 18 inches and 11.2 inches in 24-hours at Sioux Falls, SD, their earliest heavy snowfall of 6 inches or more and snowiest October on record. For Duluth and Minneapolis, the snow amounts set new all-time records for the greatest amount of snow in a single storm.

Look for the next video briefing here by 6:00 a.m. tomorrow…

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