Midday Nowcast: Sunny, Dry, and Unseasonably Warm October Days

WARM FINAL DAYS OF OCTOBER: We continue to see sunny and very warm days with highs ranging from the upper 70s to low and mid 80s. Nights remain mostly clear, with lows ranging from the upper 50s to lower 60s. Both afternoon highs and overnight lows are at least ten degrees above average for this time of year. A cold front could bring some showers to northern portions of the state Thursday night and Friday, but again, it looks like most places will remain dry.

FOOTBALL FORECAST: Jacksonville State will take on Liberty tomorrow night (6:00p CT kickoff) in Lynchburg; the sky will be clear with temperatures falling into the 60s.

BIRMINGHAM ALMANAC: For October 29th, the average high for Birmingham is 71° and the average low is 48°. The record high is 87° set in 2016, while the record low is 27° set in 1952. We average 0.12” of precipitation on this date, and the record value is 5.51” set in 1918.

ACROSS THE USA: Moderate to heavy snow is expected over parts of the Northern/Central Rockies and higher elevations of the eastern Great Basin. Dry and windy conditions may produce elevated to critical fire weather conditions in portions of the Central and Southern High Plains and the Midwest. Much of the central/eastern U.S. can expect record warm high temperatures through Thursday.

ROLLING INTO NOVEMBER: For now, the weekend looks dry with warm afternoons and pleasant nights; highs will stay around 80°, with lows not too far from 60°, still well-above average for early November. Not much change in the forecast for next week, and most of the week looks to remain dry. However, at some point the pattern will change and we will start to bring higher rain chances back into the forecast.

FRIDAY NIGHT LIGHTS: For the high school games Friday night, a few isolated showers can’t be ruled out over the northern third of Alabama, but most stadiums will be dry with temperatures falling through the 70s, reaching the 60s by the four quarter.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Saturday Auburn hosts Vanderbilt at Jordan-hare Stadium (11:45a CT kickoff)… expect a good supply of sunshine with temperatures rising from near 78 at kickoff into the low 80s by the second half.

UAB will host Tulsa at Protective Stadium in downtown Birmingham (1:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly sunny with temperatures hovering around 80 degrees during the game.

Troy will host Coastal Carolina (3:00p CT kickoff); it will be a sunny Saturday with temperatures falling from near 82 at kickoff into the 70s by the fourth quarter.

FALL BACK: This weekend Daylight Saving Time ends and we fall back onto Standard Time meaning we turn the clocks back one hour. Sunrise for Birmingham Saturday will be at 7:07AM while sunset is at 5:53PM. But on Sunday, sunrise will be at 6:08AM and sunset will be at 4:52PM. This is a good reminder to also check your batteries in smoke and carbon monoxide detectors as well as your NOAA Weather Radios.

IN THE TROPICS: In the Southwestern Caribbean Sea, a broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the southwestern Caribbean Sea in a couple of days. Gradual development is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form late this week or over the weekend while the system begins to drift northward or northeastward toward the central Caribbean Sea. Formation chance through 7 days…medium…40 percent. Next name up is Patty.

WORLD TEMPERATURE EXTREMES: Over the last 24 hours, the highest observation outside the U.S. was 112.1F at Tete, Mozambique. The lowest observation was -75.1F at Dome A, Antarctica.

CONTIGUOUS TEMPERATURE EXTREMES: Over the last 24 hours, the highest observation was 97F at Rio Grande Village, TX and Medicine Lodge, KS. The lowest observation was 14F at Berlin, NH.

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