Hot & Dry This Weekend; Potential Tropical Mischief Forms Next Week

Saturday: High pressure continues to build in from the northeast, extending our streak of dry weather across Central Alabama. Expect partly to mostly sunny skies with a few clouds overhead, and afternoon highs will range from the lower to mid-90s. If you’re attending outdoor events like football games or festivals, make sure to stay hydrated, as it will be quite warm.

Sunday: The high-pressure system remains in place, keeping our weather dry through Tuesday night. Skies will be mostly sunny with highs once again in the lower to mid-90s. Although Sunday marks the first official day of fall, it won’t feel like it with these warm temperatures.

Monday: No significant changes to the forecast as high pressure holds steady, continuing the dry and hot pattern. Expect highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s.

Tuesday: A trough will begin moving in from the west, pushing the ridge to the east. While we remain dry, we may see a few more clouds, with skies being partly to mostly sunny. Highs will range from the mid-80s to lower 90s.

Wednesday: This is where things start to get interesting. A tropical system is expected to develop in the Gulf of Mexico, while the trough pushes a surface front into the region. With increasing moisture, we could see a few isolated afternoon showers or storms, but the extent depends on what happens in the Gulf. At this point, the GFS model suggests the tropical system may stay weak, with minimal rain making it to the Gulf Coast. Highs will be in the lower 80s to lower 90s.

Thursday: A surface front will have moved through, bringing cooler and drier conditions to the area. While the GFS shows a more organized tropical system approaching the Gulf Coast, it is expected to get caught up in the front and move northeast, away from Alabama’s beaches. Highs will range from the upper 70s to lower 80s.

Friday: As the tropical system is forecasted to make landfall around Florida’s Big Bend area, we should experience mostly dry and pleasant weather across the region. However, there is a chance of a few scattered showers in the southeastern parts of the area, depending on the system’s path. Highs will remain in the upper 70s to lower 80s.

Tropical Outlook:
A broad area of low pressure could form early to mid-next week over the northwestern Caribbean Sea, with gradual development possible. A tropical depression may form as the system moves slowly north or northwest into the southern Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, expect heavy rain in Central America over the coming days.
– Formation chance through 48 hours: low, near 0%
– Formation chance through 7 days: medium, 60%

In the Atlantic, remnants of Gordon are located over 1,000 miles southwest of the Azores. Strong upper-level winds are displacing showers and thunderstorms from the center, limiting significant development as it meanders in the subtropical Atlantic.
– Formation chance through 48 hours: low, 10%
– Formation chance through 7 days: low, 10%

An area of low pressure, designated Invest 96L, is about 700 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands. Showers and thunderstorms are present, but environmental conditions are not favorable for significant development as it drifts northwestward.
– Formation chance through 48 hours: low, 10%
– Formation chance through 7 days: low, 10%

A tropical wave is expected to move off the coast of Africa on Sunday or Monday. Gradual development is possible next week as it tracks west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic.
– Formation chance through 48 hours: low, near 0%
– Formation chance through 7 days: low, 20%

That concludes today’s weather briefing. I’m meteorologist [Your Name]. Stay safe, and enjoy your weekend!

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