Sun + Scattered Afternoon/Evening Storms Through Labor Day

SCATTERED AFTERNOON STORMS: We have some pretty routine late summer weather for Alabama through the holiday weekend. Partly sunny days with random, scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Most of the storms will come from about 1:00 until 10:00 p.m…. the chance of any spot seeing rain is 20-30 percent today, and 40-50 percent tomorrow through Monday. Expect a high in the mid 90s today, followed by low 90s over the weekend.

Keep in mind where storms develop they will produce lots of lighting, and some could produce strong winds. We had a few microbursts across the state yesterday, including one at Alexander City which took down a number of trees and caused some structural damage.

REST OF NEXT WEEK: Heat levels drop considerably; highs will be close to 80 over the northern half of the state by mid-week, with lows in the 60s. And, we will maintain some risk of scattered showers and storms on a daily basis. Global models suggest rain coverage could be highest toward the end of the week with the approach of a surface front; See the video briefing for maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Alabama hosts Western Kentucky tomorrow evening at Bryant-Denny Stadium (6:00p CT kickoff)… a brief shower or storm can’t be ruled out during the first half, otherwise mostly fair with temperatures falling from near 88 degrees at kickoff to near 80 by the final whistle. Auburn will host Alabama A&M at Jordan-Hare Stadium (6:30p CT kickoff)… again a shower or storm is possible during the first half, otherwise mostly fair with temperatures falling through the 80s.

Troy will host Nevada tomorrow evening (6:00p CT kickoff)… some risk of a shower or storm during the first half, otherwise fair with temperatures falling from around 87 degrees at kickoff, to near 80 by the final whistle.

TROPICS: NHC is monitoring two tropical waves this morning; one just coming off the coast of Africa, and another one in the middle of the Atlantic between the Lesser Antilles and the coast of Africa.

The wave just off the African coast has only a 20 percent chance of development over the next seven days. The focus is on the lead wave over the central Tropical Atlantic; it continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms that are a little more concentrated near its axis.

Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form by early next week while it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph, approaching the Lesser Antilles. The system is then forecast to continue moving westward to west-northwestward across portions of the eastern and central Caribbean Sea by the middle part of next week.

It is simply too early to know if this develops into a tropical storm or hurricane, or if it enters the Gulf of Mexico. We will keep a close eye on it.

ON THIS DATE IN 2023: Idalia made landfall in the Big Bend region of Florida as a low-end Category 3 hurricane.

Idalia’s primary impact was devastating storm surge across the coastal Big Bend in Levy, Dixie, and Taylor counties. Storm surge inundations of 7 to 12 feet along the coast were some of the highest values recorded since the 1993 Storm of the Century. In some locations, according to local residents, values exceeded those observed in the 1993 Storm of Century. Idalia moved ashore during low tide, and if not for that storm surge values could have easily been 3 to 4 feet higher had Idalia moved onshore only 4 to 6 hours later at high tide. In addition to surge, wind and flooding damage was recorded well inland into Georgia.

Look for the next video briefing here by 3:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

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