Highs Hold In The 90s; Mostly Dry Today
PLEASANT START: We are seeing some spots in the low to mid 60s across North Alabama early this morning for a nice, brief touch of fall. But temperatures rise quickly, and we expect highs in the mid 90s in most places again today. Any showers or storms will be confined to the southern third of the state, and even there most places will stay dry.
Moisture levels rise tomorrow, and we will mention the chance of an afternoon shower or thunderstorm in scattered spots. The high will be in the 93-97 degree range.
THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND: We expect very classic summer weather on these four days. Hot and humid, a partly sunny sky, and random, scattered showers and thunderstorms around mostly during the afternoon and evening hours. Chance of any one spot getting wet each afternoon is 30-40 percent Thursday, and 50-60 percent Friday through Sunday. You might get one inch of rain, your neighbor gets nothing. Highs will be in the low to mid 90s.
Not much change next week as the summer pattern persists. Hot, muggy days with the daily chance of a pop-up shower or thunderstorm, mostly between 1:00 and 10:00 p.m. See the video briefing for maps, graphics, and more details.
TROPICS: Beryl is a powerful, category five hurricane in the Caribbean this morning with sustained winds of 165 mph. It will be near Jamaica tomorrow, where a hurricane warning is in effect. Beryl should slowly weaken over the next few days… factors such as the possible interaction with the Jamaican
elevated terrain, dry air intrusions, and the structure of the vertical wind shear will all play a role in the rate of weakening. The models show quite a wide range of solutions, with guidance between a strong tropical storm to a major hurricane while it nears the Yucatan Peninsula. The NHC forecast lies in the middle of the aids, showing Beryl as a major hurricane near Jamaica, reaching Yucatan as a hurricane in about 72 h before emerging as a tropical storm over the Gulf of Mexico. This is quite an uncertain forecast beyond a couple of days due to the aforementioned factors.
There is a chance a northward component of motion begins over the Southwest Gulf of Mexico; models show final landfall anywhere from Mexico to Louisiana. Most global models suggest Beryl at that time will be a tropical storm, not the intense hurricane we see today. But again, there is much uncertainty in what happens in the 3-7 day time frame. Odds are still high that there will be little to no direct weather impact on the Central Gulf Coast (Gulf Shores to Panama City Beach).
We note another tropical wave is trailing Beryl in the Atlantic, Invest 96L. The chance of development with this system has dropped to 30 percent; it remains just something to watch for now.
ON THIS DATE IN 1843: An alligator reportedly fell from the sky onto Anson Street in Charleston, SC during a thunderstorm.
ON THIS DATE IN 2001: In Michigan, frost and freezing temperatures were observed in some locations with Grant dropping to 29 degrees. Muskegon reported their coldest July temperature on record with 39 degrees.
Look for the next video briefing here by 3:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!
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