Strong Storms Still Possible For SE Alabama Today

RADAR CHECK: Thankfully severe thunderstorms were a no-show for Alabama overnight, no watches, no warnings. Just wind and rain; gradient winds gusted to 40 mph in spots as widespread rain covered the state.

Rain will end from the northwest this morning, and the gradient winds will slowly subside. A low end risk of severe thunderstorms will exist late today, across Southeast Alabama. SPC maintains a “slight risk” (level 2/5) of severe thunderstorms today mainly in areas from Montgomery south and east.

The main window for strong to severe thunderstorms in this part of Alabama will come from about 10:00 a.m. until 5:00 p.m… and the main threat will come from gusty straight line winds. A brief, isolated tornado can’t be ruled out, but isn’t likely. Additional rain amounts of around one inch are likely over the southern counties today, and all of the rain will be out of the state by the evening hours.

Temperatures will remain fairly mild today with most locations seeing a high in the 67-71 degree range. A few intervals of sun are possible for the northern counties.

TOMORROW/THURSDAY: An upper low will swing through North Alabama early tomorrow with clouds and perhaps a sprinkle or two, but nothing meaningful. The sky becomes mostly sunny tomorrow afternoon, and the day will be cooler with a high in the 55-65 degree range. Then, for Thanksgiving Day, the sky will be mostly sunny with highs in the 50s over the northern counties of the state, with low to mid 60s for South Alabama. The low Thursday morning will be in the 30s for most communities.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: A weak low in the northern Gulf could bring some scattered light rain to the southern 2/3 of Alabama Thursday night into Friday morning, but with limited moisture rain amounts will be very light and spotty… many places won’t see a drop. The sky will be mostly cloudy Friday with highs around 60 degrees.

Then, expect a cool, dry weekend with a partly sunny sky both days. Highs will be in the 58-63 degree range, with lows mostly in the upper 30s and low 40s.

NEXT WEEK: For now the first half of the week looks dry; some rain could move into the state by Thursday and Friday with another low passing through the northern Gulf of Mexico. See the video briefing for maps, graphics, and more details.

IRON BOWL: The weather looks delightful for Saturday’s Iron Bowl (Alabama at Auburn; 2:30p CT kickoff). The sky will be partly sunny with temperatures falling from near 62 degrees at kickoff into the 50s by the fourth quarter. No risk of rain.

TROPICS: NHC is monitoring a disturbance in the Caribbean; it has only a 10 percent chance of development over the next seven days as it drifts westward. And, in the central Atlantic, an area of low pressure is expected to develop along a frontal boundary over the central subtropical Atlantic later today. This non-tropical low is forecast to move southeastward across the central subtropical Atlantic over warmer sea surface temperatures during the next few days, and environmental conditions appear conducive for this system to gradually acquire tropical characteristics. A subtropical or tropical storm could form by the latter part of this week, as the system continues moving eastward followed by a turn northeastward by the weekend.

This feature has a 50 percent chance of development over the next seven days, but it will remain far from land. Hurricane season ends in nine days.

ON THIS DATE IN 1992: The November 21st – 23rd tornado outbreak was the 3rd largest outbreak in recorded history and one of the longest continuous outbreaks ever recorded. There was no break in tornado activity from 1:30 pm on the 21st when the tornadoes started in Texas until 7:30 am on the 23rd when the last tornadoes lifted in North Carolina. On this date, severe thunderstorms spawned six tornadoes within 70 minutes in the Houston metro area in Texas. At one time, there were three on the ground in Harris County. The strongest, an F4, tracked 20 miles through the eastern suburbs of Houston destroying 200 homes and damaging 1,000 more. In total, 23 tornadoes struck Mississippi and Alabama. An F4 tornado killed 12 people on a 128-mile track through 7 Mississippi counties. The deadliest tornado of 1992, an F4 tornado killed 12 people on a 128-mile path through 7 counties in Mississippi, one of the bodies was blown a quarter mile into a tree.

Alabama had a total of 13 tornadoes touch down ranging in strength from F0 to F2, with no deaths and 53 injuries. The tornado with the most injuries occurred just outside of Sardis City where multiple structures were damaged and twelve people were injured.

Look for the next video briefing here by 3:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

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