Midday Nowcast: Some Sun and Some Clouds

Another great late September day of weather across Alabama…we are seeing a mix of sun and clouds with afternoon highs in the low to mid 80s. Tonight, lows will hold in those soothing 60s. Tomorrow, should feature more sunshine than clouds and we still need to mention the outside chance of a stray shower as an upper level features swings through the state, but rain chances are less than 10%.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Friday is officially the last day of summer and the weather will be very nice…Plenty of sunshine, highs in the low to mid 80s. Fall officially arrives Saturday at 1:49 AM CDT, the pattern doesn’t change much and the weather looks dry with highs holding in the 80s, and lows in the 60s. Lots of sunshine both Saturday and Sunday. Late Sunday we will mention a few showers will be possible as moisture levels begin to increase, but still rain chances will be at or near 20%.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: The sky will be clear for the high school games across Alabama Friday night, with temperatures falling through the 70s, possibly reaching the 60s by the fourth quarter.

Saturday Auburn will travel to College Station to take on Texas A&M (11a CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly sunny with temperatures rising from near 88 at kickoff to near 93 by the final whistle.

Alabama will host Ole Miss at Bryant-Denny Stadium Saturday (2:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly sunny with temperatures in the mid 80s.

And, UAB will be in Athens to take on Georgia Saturday evening (6:30p CT kickoff). The weather looks dry with a mostly clear sky… temperatures will fall from near 77 at kickoff, into the 60s by the fourth quarter.

NEXT WEEK: We will mention daily rain chances most of next week, but again, with a relatively dry air mass, many locations will remain dry. But there will be a few showers on the radar each days. The days will feature more sunshine than clouds with highs in the low 80s. Nights will be fair with lows in the 60s.

IN THE TROPICS: Hurricane Nigel is moving toward the north near 16 mph. A turn toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected later today. Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph with higher gusts. Nigel has likely reached its peak intensity, with gradual weakening expected later today, followed by faster rate of weakening on Friday. Nigel is forecast to become a post-tropical cyclone by Friday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles. The estimated minimum central pressure is 971 mb (28.68 inches).

Elsewhere, a tropical wave is currently located just off the west coast of Africa. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week or this weekend while the system moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. Formation chance through 7 days…high…70 percent.

Also, a non-tropical area of low pressure is expected to form east of the Florida peninsula late this week. This system could
acquire some subtropical characteristics by this weekend while it moves generally northward. Regardless of development, this low is likely to bring gusty winds to gale force, heavy rain, and high surf to portions of the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic United States late this week and into this weekend. Formation chance through 7 days…low…30 percent.

BEACH FORECAST CENTER: Get the latest weather and rip current forecasts for the beaches from Fort Morgan to Panama City on our Beach Forecast Center page. There, you can select the forecast of the region that you are interested in visiting.

WORLD TEMPERATURE EXTREMES: Over the last 24 hours, the highest observation outside the U.S. was 114.8F at Mina, Saudi Arabia. The lowest observation was -79.1F Vostok, Antarctica.

CONTIGUOUS TEMPERATURE EXTREMES: Over the last 24 hours, the highest observation was 108F at Rio Grande Village, TX. The lowest observation was 21F at Mackay, ID.

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