Only Isolated Showers Around Through The Weekend
TRENDING WARMER: We are forecasting highs in the 84-87 degree range across Alabama today, right at seasonal averages for the last day of May. The sky will be partly sunny, and a few isolated showers or storms could form this afternoon and early tonight. Chance of any one spot seeing rain is around 20 percent. This will be the formula for the rest of the week as heat and humidity levels continue to slowly rise.
THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: No real change. Only isolated afternoon showers, otherwise partly sunny days and fair highs with highs close to 90 degrees. The chance of any one place getting wet both days is 10-20 percent.
NEXT WEEK: We just don’t see much reason for any major change in the weather. No sign of any high impact, widespread rain event… only isolated showers around daily with highs in the 87-91 degree range most days. Pretty typical weather for early June in Alabama. See the video briefing for maps, graphics, and more details.
TROPICS: An area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms is associated with a surface trough of low pressure interacting with an upper-level trough over the central Gulf of Mexico. Environmental conditions appear only marginally favorable for additional development over the next several days as the system meanders over the eastern Gulf of Mexico. The system is then forecast to move across the Florida Peninsula this weekend and emerge into the southwestern Atlantic Ocean by early next week. Regardless of development, the system could produce heavy rainfall and gusty winds over portions of the Florida Peninsula later this week.
NHC gives it only a 20 percent chance of development through early next week, and any impact to the Central Gulf Coast (Gulf Shores to Panama City Beach) will be minimal. The rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet.
ON THIS DATE IN 1889: The Johnstown, Pennsylvania disaster occurred, the worst flood tragedy in U.S. history. Heavy rains collapsed the South Fork Dam sending a thirty-foot wall of water rushing down the already flooded Conemaugh Valley. The wall of water, traveling as fast as twenty-two feet per second, swept away all structures, objects, and people. The flood killed around 2100 people.
ON THIS DATE IN 2013: An intense, long-track tornado formed southwest of El Reno, Oklahoma. This exceptionally wide tornado took a complex path, rapidly changing in both speed and direction. This tornado was well sampled by two separate mobile research radar teams – both radars captured high temporal and spatial resolution data relatively close to the large tornado. Both radars measured winds in the tornado of more than 200 mph. The RaXPol radar data shows winds of at least 295 mph very close to the surface. The maximum tornado width was 2.6 miles.
Eight people were killed in the tornado, all in vehicles. This included three severe storm researchers who were killed east of U.S. Highway 81 as the tornado overtook their position. Additionally, several other people were killed while attempting to escape the tornado near U.S. Highway 81. Finally, two people were killed along I-40 while waiting for the storm to pass.
Look for the next video briefing here by 3:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!
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