Mesoscale Discussion 335 — Tornado Risk Continues Across Watch Area
SUMMARY… The risk for a few tornadoes continues, but probably will gradually lessen with storms overspreading the region through 2-3 AM CDT.
DISCUSSION… Stronger convection appears to be gradually consolidating on the leading edge of the lower/mid tropospheric cooling across northeastern into central Mississippi. As this progresses eastward, and the associated mid-level troughing continues northeastward through the middle Mississippi Valley/Ozark Plateau vicinity, large clockwise-curved low-level hodographs across east central Mississippi into northern and central Alabama are forecast to gradually trend more linear through 07-08Z.
Additionally, boundary-layer moisture remains slower to recover across central through northern Alabama, where dew points remain in the relatively modest upper 50s through lower 60s F. It remains unclear the extent to which low-level thermodynamic profiles will continue to support tornadic supercells. It is possible that the tornado risk associated with convection spreading into northern Alabama has peaked. However, at least some risk for additional tornadoes probably lingers, along with a continuing risk for damaging wind gusts several more hours.
Category: Alabama's Weather, ALL POSTS, Severe Weather
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Scott Martin is an operational meteorologist, professional graphic artist, musician, husband, and father. Not only is Scott a member of the National Weather Association, but he is also the Central Alabama Chapter of the NWA president. Scott is also the co-founder of Racecast Weather, which provides forecasts for many racing series across the USA. He also supplies forecasts for the BassMaster Elite Series events including the BassMaster Classic.Subscribe
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