Half Clouds, Half Sun

A very distinct clearing line is working its way, or possibly evaporating its way eastward across Alabama as we approach the 11 o’clock hour.

Tuscaloosa, Demopolis, and Florence are already clear. Birmingham will be soon.

The upper low responsible for the rain is very impressive on visible satellite images this morning. The rain has changed to snow now over western North Carolina and along the Virginia/West Virginia border. There is probably a little freezing rain mixed in along I-64 near White Sulphur Springs, West Virginia.

The very last of the light rain is just about to exit Cherokee and DeKalb Counties into Georgia.

Temperatures at most locations in North and Central Alabama are in the 40s. It was still 39F at the Bessemer Airport at the last report but it won’t take them long to clear 40F, in fact they probably already have. Highs will end up in the 50s areawide.

Morning model data still indicates a threat for severe weather on Thursday. The morning run of the GFS is a little faster with the line of storms, reaching Birmingham around 3-4 p.m. now. Being a little faster gives a little more CAPE in this situation. There is plenty of bulk shear for organized storms, and the low-level shear is decent, but not off the charts for tornadoes. The analogs call for a marginal tornado event for North Central Alabama, with a higher tornado threat further south in places like Demopolis and Camden. The threat seems to lessen further east as CAPE actually decreases, but that is not a forecast at this time.

The SPC Day 5 Outlook includes all of Alabama all the way through Ohio.

The rest of our forecast is pretty much on track so only a few tweaks coming up in the next hour. Enjpy your Super Bowl Sunday and eat a wing for me!

Category: Alabama's Weather, ALL POSTS