Weather Briefing — A Wet & Breezy Start to the Weekend; Severe Storms Possible on Thursday

Today will be a rainy, cool, and breezy day across the area as a surface low will be heading in our direction and eventually moving across the southern portions of Central Alabama later this evening. There may actually be a couple claps of thunder in the northeastern parts. Highs in the lower to mid 50s.

Sunday will start off rain moving out of the area, and in the far northern parts of Central Alabama and up into the Tennessee Valley, some snow will be possible mixed in with the rain. However, temperatures will be well above freezing as early morning lows will be in the mid 30s to the lower 40s, and afternoon highs in the upper 40s to the upper 50s.

Monday will be a much better day across the area as we can expect sunny skies and warmer temperatures. Highs in the 60s.

A low will be moving northeastward over the Mississippi Valley that will pull more moisture and warmer air up from the Gulf of Mexico, out ahead of an approaching cold front. However, that cold front looks to stall out to our west, and showers will stay out of the area until the late evening hours. Highs in the mid 60s to the lower 70s.

The air will start to destabilize on Wednesday and showers and thunderstorms will be possible throughout the day. Some of these storms may become strong with hail, but there is no forcing present, so we may have to remove the hail threat in later forecasts. Highs in the upper 60s to the upper 70s.

The approaching system starts to move into the area on Thursday and will bring the risk of strong to severe storms. The Storm Prediction Center has all of Alabama in a Slight Risk for severe storms on their Day 6 Outlook. Models are showing a good amount of instability, mid-60 dewpoints, shear, and a low-level jet in place over the area, which means that there will be the threat of tornadoes, damaging winds, and large hail. We’ll get a better idea on timing and locations in future updates, especially when the higher resolution models come into play. Highs in the upper 60s to the upper 70s.

And at the end of the forecast period on Friday… Rain will be exiting the area through the early morning hours and much cooler air will begin moving into the area as a deep trough begins to settle in. Skies will eventually become mostly sunny and highs will only be in the mid 40s to the mid 50s.

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