Mesoscale Discussion — Potential of New Tornado Watch East of Current Watch
SUMMARY… A severe threat, with a potential for wind damage and tornadoes, will develop to the east of WW 11 over the next couple of hours. New weather watch issuance is expected by 10Z.
DISCUSSION… The latest mosaic radar imagery across the central Gulf Coast region shows an organized convective line from southern Mississippi extending northeastward into far northwest Georgia. Along the leading edge, several short bowing line segments and embedded supercells are ongoing. Moderate instability is analyzed by the RAP ahead of the middle and southern sections of the line, where MLCAPE generally ranges from 1200 to 2500 J/kg. In addition, WSR-88D VWPs ahead of the line have 0-6 km shear near 60 knots with 0-3 storm relative helicities near 400 m2/s2. This environment will continue to support supercells with tornado potential. Supercells, along with short bowing line segments, will also have wind-damage potential. The threat will continue to move eastward and may eventually affect western Georgia early this morning.
Category: Alabama's Weather, ALL POSTS, Severe Weather
About the Author (Author Profile)
Scott Martin is an operational meteorologist, professional graphic artist, musician, husband, and father. Not only is Scott a member of the National Weather Association, but he is also the Central Alabama Chapter of the NWA president. Scott is also the co-founder of Racecast Weather, which provides forecasts for many racing series across the USA. He also supplies forecasts for the BassMaster Elite Series events including the BassMaster Classic.Subscribe
If you enjoyed this article, subscribe to receive more just like it.
