Showers Move In Later Today & Hang Around Through Sunday

THE CENTRAL ALABAMA WEEKEND
Saturday will be a mostly cloudy and breezy day across Central Alabama as we’ll have an impulse approaching from the west and southwest, while a wedge over the east will try to slow the impulse down. Showers and a few rumbles of thunder will become possible over the western portions of the area by mid to late afternoon and eventually making into the central portions by the evening to late-night hours. Much of the area will have a good chance of showers during the overnight.

At this point, any stronger storms look to stay to the south and southwest of the area. Highs in the upper 60s to the mid 70s.

Showers with a rumble or two of thunder look to become widespread over Central Alabama on Sunday, but the air looks to be too stable for any stronger storms at this point. Highs in the upper 60s to the upper 70s.

THE WORK WEEK AHEAD
Mainly dry weather will return on Monday for much of Central Alabama, but a few stray sprinkles may be possible over the extreme northern portions of the area. Highs in the upper 60s to the upper 70s. Trick-or-Treat time will be dry with clearing skies. Temperatures ranging from the lower to mid 60s at 7 pm, down to the upper 50s to the lower 60s by 10 pm.

Tuesday will be an overall nice day across the area as skies will be mostly sunny and highs in the 70-80 degree range.

A shortwave will move across the area on Wednesday that will bring a few showers to the area during the morning hours, before we dry out for the afternoon and evening. Highs in the 70s.

We’ll have some left-over energy from the shortwave on Thursday that may keep a few light showers in the forecast for the northeast and eastern parts of the area, especially during the afternoon hours. The rest of the area looks to stay dry. Highs in the mid to upper 70s.

And at the end of the forecast period on Friday… Sunny skies return with mild to warm temperatures and highs will top out in the mid 70s to the lower 80s.

THE TROPICS (AS OF 7 PM FRIDAY)

Eastern Caribbean: A broad area of low pressure over the eastern Caribbean Sea continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending from the Windward Islands west-northwestward for several hundred miles. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development over the next few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or early next week while the disturbance moves slowly westward or west-northwestward over the central Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of the Lesser Antilles, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico through this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours… low… 30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days… high… 70 percent.

Western Atlantic: Satellite data indicate that a well-defined low pressure area located about 150 miles west-southwest of Bermuda is currently producing a limited amount of shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions are forecast to remain only marginally conducive, and any additional development should be slow to occur over the next day or so. By late Saturday, upper-level winds are forecast to become even less favorable, and the low is expected to begin interacting with an approaching frontal system. Therefore, development after that time is not anticipated.
* Formation chance through 48 hours… low… 20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days… low… 20 percent.

ON THIS DAY IN WEATHER HISTORY – 1985
Hurricane Juan, a rather large category 1 storm, meandered on near the Louisiana coast until the 31st, when it finally made landfall on the Alabama coast. The slow movement of the storm resulted in excessive rains in Louisiana, with many places receiving over 10 inches. Galliano, Louisiana checked in with a storm total of 17.73 inches. Inland flooding combined with an 8-foot storm surge resulted in damage well over $500 million.

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