Humid Summer Days; Scattered Afternoon/Evening Storms
CLASSIC SUMMER PATTERN: If you are new to Alabama, this kind of weather is just what we expect in summer. Partly sunny, very humid days with random, scattered showers and storms around during the afternoon and evening hours. This is our forecast for the rest of the week; highs will be in the 86-90 degree range for most places, right at seasonal averages. Concerning the afternoon storms, there is no way of knowing in advance exactly when and where they pop up… you just have to watch radar trends if you have an outdoor event planned. The chance of any one spot getting rain is 45-55 percent, and most of the summer soakers will be active between 2:00 and 10:00 p.m.
FOURTH OF JULY WEEKEND: The weather just won’t change much over the holiday weekend. The sun will be out at times, and random storms will pop up during the peak of the daytime heating process each day. It should be the usual situation; some places won’t see any rain on any given day, while others will see a passing summer soaker with heavy rain. Highs will remain in the 86-90 degree range.
REST OF NEXT WEEK: Highs rise into the low 90s for most of the week, with no major change in the overall situation. Partly sunny days, and “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms”. Your classic July forecast… See the daily Weather Briefing video for maps, graphics, and more details.
TROPICS: An area of low pressure centered over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system is forecast to move slowly westward or west-southwestward and approach the coast of Texas during the next 48 hours. Slow development of the low is possible, and it could become a short-lived tropical depression near the coast before it moves inland tonight or Thursday. Regardless of development, heavy rain will be possible along portions of the Texas coast later this week.
In the Caribbean, “Potential Tropical Cyclone 2” is moving rapidly through the Caribbean; it will skirt the coast of South America, and should move into Central America (most likely the coast of Nicaragua) Friday night as a tropical storm. This system will remain far south of the U.S.
ON THIS DATE IN 1998: “The Corn Belt Derecho of 1998” in the following states NE, IA, IL, IN, KY. A derecho which originated in far southeast South Dakota moved across Illinois during the afternoon and evening and continued as far east as Ohio the next morning. Every county in central Illinois sustained some damage, as these severe thunderstorms passed. Winds gusted in the 60 to 80 mph range, with some localized microbursts producing winds more than 100 mph. Significant damage occurred in the microburst areas, including the towns of Morton, McLean, LeRoy, and Tolono. In Tolono, 22 cars of a southbound 101-car Illinois Central freight train were blown off the tracks. It was unknown how many vehicles were picked up by the wind, but 16 cars were turned over, and another six derailed but remained upright.
ON THIS DATE IN 2012: The Mid-Atlantic and Midwest derecho was one of the deadliest and most destructive fast-moving severe thunderstorm complexes in North American history. The progressive derecho tracked across a large section of the Midwestern United States and across the central Appalachians into the mid-Atlantic states on the afternoon and evening of June 29, 2012, and into the early morning of June 30, 2012. It resulted in a total of 22 deaths, millions of power outages across the entire affected region, and a damage total of $2.9 billion.
BEACH FORECAST: Click here to see the AlabamaWx Beach Forecast Center page.
Look for the next Weather Briefing video here by 3:00 p.m…. enjoy the day!
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