Tornado Threat Remains Low for the Gulf Coast, Watch Not Likely at This Time
The latest Mesoscale Discussion from the Storm Prediction Center has just been released. Here is the text:
SUMMARY…A few storms have exhibited transient rotation as Tropical Storm Cristobal has made landfall. A brief, weak tornado cannot be ruled out and strong wind gusts are also possible. A watch issuance is not expected at this time.
DISCUSSION…Tropical Storm Cristobal made landfall over an hour ago and a few showers have exhibited some weak rotation. Storms are moving to west-northwest as rain bands move northward. Recently a couple of showers exhibited weak rotation in/around Mobile Bay but quickly weakened when they moved onshore. A brief, weak tornado remains possible to the north/east of the tropical storm center where low-level shear/helicity remains maximized. However, the tornado threat should be isolated. Localized convectively enhanced wind gusts are also possible within these rain bands. Given the marginal and isolated severe threat, a watch issuance is unlikely, but the situation will continue to be monitored.
Category: Alabama's Weather, ALL POSTS, Severe Weather, Tropical