SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Overall Severe Threat Slowly Diminishing
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 38 continues.
SUMMARY…Overall severe threat across east-central AL appears to be slowly diminishing. Downstream watch issuance into west-central/southwestern GA appears unlikely this morning.
DISCUSSION…A small, low-topped cluster of storms is ongoing across parts of east-central AL at 1515Z. Although strong flow aloft is present over this region, instability remains rather weak owing to persistent cloud cover and poor mid-level lapse rates. Better forcing for ascent should gradually shift northward and away from west-central/southwestern GA through the remainder of the morning and continuing into the afternoon. This should lead to a gradually diminishing trend to the ongoing convection. Regardless, an isolated strong wind gust cannot be ruled out across a small part of east-central AL in the short term (next hour or so). Given current observational trends, downstream watch issuance into west-central/southwestern GA will probably not be needed.
Category: Alabama's Weather, ALL POSTS, Severe Weather
About the Author (Author Profile)
Scott Martin is an operational meteorologist, professional graphic artist, musician, husband, and father. Not only is Scott a member of the National Weather Association, but he is also the Central Alabama Chapter of the NWA president. Scott is also the co-founder of Racecast Weather, which provides forecasts for many racing series across the USA. He also supplies forecasts for the BassMaster Elite Series events including the BassMaster Classic.Subscribe
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