SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY…Severe threat will increase across the Florida Panhandle this afternoon. Damaging winds and perhaps a tornado are the primary threats.

DISCUSSION…Northwest-southeast oriented corridor of strong/severe thunderstorms over the northern Gulf basin is advancing slowly toward the FL Panhandle. This activity appears to be correlated strongly with leading edge of higher theta-e air mass in association with focused low-level warm advection. Latest CAM guidance depicts this corridor of storms well and suggests this activity will propagate inland over the next few hours. Some supercell structures are noted offshore and shear profiles favor deep rotating storms. While damaging winds are the primary threat, some tornado potential does exist. WW is being considered for this convection.

Tags: MesoScaleDiscussion

Category: ALL POSTS, MescoScale Discussions