Hurricane Michael to Bring Unprecedented Surge and Wind as Well as Flooding Rains to Northwest Florida
Here are maximum wind gusts expected from Hurricane Michael:
Source: NWS National Digital Forecast Database
Here is expected rainfall:
Source: NWS Weather Prediction Center
Here is the probability of hurricane force winds:
Source: National Hurricane Center
Probability of tropical storm force winds:
Source: National Hurricane Center
Storm surge inundation based on forecast track looks good based on track forecast and current trends of movement.
Source: National Hurricane Center
If the track were to jog a little west though, the highest surge values would impact Panama City. Even with the current track, there will be widespread inundation around St. Andrews Bay, North Bay, East Bay, and West Bay.