Inside Edge on the Success of the Forecast Track for Hurricane Florence

DISCUSSION: There is no debate that despite the horrific flooding, wind, and storm surge impacts which have unfolded and “revealed their ugly head” in the wake of the landfall and the subsequent gradual weakening of Hurricane Florence, there are still parts of this tropical cyclone which are going to be looked more highly upon.  Once such issue happens to be the evolution of the forecast track of Hurricane Florence in the days leading up to the first and final landfall which occurred in the vicinity of Wrightsville Beach, North Carolina. It goes without saying that there were great strides made by the operational forecasters at the NWS National Hurricane Center located in Miami, Florida along with other regional National Weather Service forecast offices.  However, one question which has been circulating around social media rather quickly is regarding just how good the forecast track projections for Hurricane Florence actually were when all was said and done?

Attached above is a brief video briefing which goes into greater detail regarding just how good the evolving forecast track of Hurricane Florence actually was throughout its lifetime. Note how good the future forecast track was during the latter part of the forecast track in the days leading up to landfall of Florence and what this may mean in a positive sense for atmospheric science moving forward in time!

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© 2018 Meteorologist Jordan Rabinowitz