Mostly Dry Once Again Today

Satellite image this morning showed a rather large area of clouds just to the west of Alabama along with a good deal of clouds across the Tennessee River Valley. The upper trough remained situated over the eastern Great Lakes with the trough axis extending down into the Southeast US. This pattern remains with us through Monday, so with a northerly flow along with lowered values of precipitable water, we should remain primarily dry across the northern half of Alabama, but an isolated shower or two will still be possible. Look for a high to be 89 to 92.

Not much changes in the pattern on Monday, so I expect a near carbon copy of Sunday. But Tuesday the GFS depicts a surge in precipitable water as values push upward to around 2 inches, so I expect to see showers and thunderstorms become a bit more numerous. Highs will be around 90.

The upper air pattern remains somewhat flat Wednesday and Thursday, but there is a minimum in the precipitable water values across North Alabama on Wednesday indicating a drop in showers back to the isolated category. Highs remain around the 90-degree mark.

For the latter half of the week, from Thursday through Sunday, the upper air pattern remains somewhat flat but with a series of short waves moving through the broad trough over the eastern half of the country that will keep us in a summer like pattern consisting of scattered to numerous showers. The added clouds and presence of more numerous showers should help to keep highs in Central Alabama in the upper 80s, 87 to 90.

Rainfall for the next five days will still be limited as we saw yesterday. Since this outlook goes through the end of the week, amounts come up somewhat as showers become more widespread in coverage with amounts generally around a half inch.

Looking out into voodoo, the GFS has become very bullish on bringing in hot weather for the Southeast US. The Bermuda High pushes in around the 21st of August and becomes firmly established by the 23rd. It remain in place through the 25th become beginning to weaken a little around the 26th. This pattern, if it verifies, would probably bring some of the hottest weather of the summer to much of the Southeast US.

Tropics: A low latitude tropical wave in the Atlantic between the Lesser Antilles and the coast of Africa has diminished with little likelihood for development over the next several days. An area of disturbed weather over the North Atlantic may become better organized as it meanders there for the next several days.

Beach Forecast: Click here to see the AlabamaWx Beach Forecast Center page.

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Thanks so much for tuning in today. James Spann will be back with the next edition of the Weather Xtreme Video on Monday morning. Enjoy the day and Godspeed.

-Brian-

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