Warm and Dry for the Weekend

We’re starting the day out with just a few clouds streaking the sky across Central Alabama. Temperatures were around the 70-degree mark. Fog was occurring across the southern portion of Alabama and Georgia where the moisture levels were the highest. I expect the northern two-thirds of Alabama to be dry today with showers once again in South Alabama and Northwest Florida. Highs should reach the lower 90s again, but with somewhat lowered humidity, heat indices should not be of concern.

The broad upper level trough will continue across the eastern half of the country Sunday and Monday. Monday into Tuesday we’ll see a strong short wave over the Dakotas dig into the Middle Mississippi River Valley. We should stay warm Sunday and Monday with highs in the lower 90s. Monday moisture levels begin to come back up and isolated showers will be possible.

The digging trough will bring moisture back as the trough axis sets up generally along the Mississippi River. Tuesday should be a wet day with numerous showers and thunderstorms. Clouds and showers should hold highs in the middle 80s. MOS guidance for Birmingham paints a high of 82 for Tuesday.

The rest of the week from Wednesday through Saturday the weather will remain unsettled with the upper trough holding it’s position and strength generally along the Mississippi River. Highs will be in the middle and upper 80s and will depend on just how extensive the clouds and showers will be. By next weekend, the upper trough will be weakened but still in place affecting the weather across the Southeast US.

Rainfall during the week ahead through Thursday could be fairly substantial for Central Alabama with amounts of 1 to 2 inches over a fairly wide area. There will still be a good deal of variability simply due to the nature of showers.

Looking out into voodoo country, the GFS is very bullish on increasing the strength of the upper ridge over the Rockies. Fortunately, the eastern part of the country is forecast to remain with broad roughing keeping us out of any extreme heat.

Tropics: All remains quiet across the Atlantic basin this afternoon; tropical storm formation is not expected though early next week.

Beach Forecast: Click here to see the AlabamaWx Beach Forecast Center page.

WeatherBrains: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

Thanks for tuning into the Weather Xtreme Video. We’ll be on a one-a-day schedule for the next week as James enjoys some time off. I’ll be filling in for Charles on ABC 3340 News at 6 and 10 pm today. The next Weather Xtreme Video should be posted here Sunday by 7 am or so. Godspeed.

-Brian-

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