Weather Turning Mainly Dry

At daybreak, much of Alabama and the Southeast US remained clear with just some patchy fog in places reducing visibility to 4 to 5 miles. It was also mild with morning lows dipping to around the 70-degree mark. We should see plenty of sunshine today with highs climbing to near 90 once again with only the outside chance for an isolated shower or thunderstorm with most of us remaining dry.

Football Weather: Alabama teams are playing away this weekend. Alabama will be in Nashville to take on the Vanderbilt Commodores with a 2:30 pm CDT kickoff. The sky will be mostly sunny with a kickoff temperature near 88 degrees falling into the mid 80s by the fourth quarter. The Nashville are should be dry. Auburn goes head-to-head with Missouri in Columbia this evening. Weather for the 6:30 pm CDT kickoff should be clear with temperatures falling from 85 degrees at kickoff into the upper 70s by the final whistle. And UAB plays North Texas with a 5:30 pm CDT kickoff in Denton, TX. The weather will be dry with a fair sky; about 90 degrees at kickoff falling through the 80s during the game. Jacksonville State is the only team playing in Alabama as they have kickoff their home opener with Liberty University at 6:00 pm CDT. Isolated showers will be possible in the Jacksonville, AL, area with temperatures falling from around 85 at kickoff into the lower 70s by game end.

Beach Weather: Beach weather will be somewhat wet through the first of the week before the weather improves. Highs will be mainly in the middle 80s with the water temperature running around 84 degrees. Click here to see the AlabamaWx Beach Forecast Center page. The Beach Forecast is partially underwritten by the support of Brett/Robinson Vacation Rentals in Gulf Shores and Orange Beach. Click here to see Brett/Robinson’s Hot Deals now!

As we continue to move away from the peak of hurricane season, we have two storms in the Atlantic Basin, Maria that remains a major hurricane just east of the Bahamas and Lee nearly dead center of the Atlantic Ocean as barely a tropical storm meandering there. Maria is forecast to remain a major hurricane into Monday as it tracks northward between Bermuda and the US East Coast. Tuesday we should see some lose of intensity as it moves over cooler water. Wednesday it will be making its closest approach to the US as it turns northeastward. Swells along the US East Coast from Florida all the way to New York will present a danger until Maria begins moving away.

The weather pattern over the Southeast US features an inverted trough along the Northeast Gulf Coast today that will gradually retrograde and weaken. By Tuesday it will be washing out over the Lower Mississippi River Valley. This kind of feature would typically present with some pretty good chances of showers or storms, however, precipitable water values across much of the Southeast US with the exception of the Gulf Coast remain relatively low, so showers and storms should remain confined primarily to the immediate coastal area through Tuesday. Highs for Central Alabama should remain in the middle to upper 80s.

Tuesday and Wednesday we see a strong trough move into the Great Lakes where it will be reinforced Thursday and Friday resulting in a fairly deep trough along the coast of the eastern US. While we are likely to see a weak front move into and across the Southeast US at the end of the week, the air mass is likely to remain fairly dry so it does not currently looks likely that we’ll see any showers with this front. But with a surface high pressure system settling into the Central US we should see a nice turn down in temperatures with highs by Friday and Saturday reaching only near 80 degrees with lows in the 50s. Ah, the feeling of Fall in the air.

Looking into Week 2, or voodoo country, the GFS is insisting that we’ll see another substantial ridge around the 3rd of October for some warm weather to start October. A weak trough sneaks into the picture coming under the ridge around the 5th of October and sticking around until the 8th. This could spell some wet weather, however, the air mass is forecast to stay dry, so it is unlikely this feature will result in much if any precipitation.

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I plan to have the next Weather Xtreme Video posted here by 7 am or so on Sunday. Check back often for notes on our weather. Have a great day and Godspeed.

-Brian-

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