A Quick Update On Alabama’s Weather Situation At 2:30PM

The latest Day 1 Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center has just come out a few minutes ago, and the northern half of the state has been included in a “Marginal Risk” for severe weather throughout the rest of the day and into the early morning hours on Wednesday.

The statement from the SPC says that destabilization along the southern/eastern flanks of convection over the Tennessee Valley region may support some increase in convective intensity with storm clusters advancing toward the southern Appalachians. Locally damaging wind gusts may accompany this activity.

At this time, showers and thunderstorms continue to push through the northern parts of the state in a line north of Eva to Arab to Guntersville to Fort Payne. These are continuing to move off to the east-northeast at 40 MPH. Nothing is severe at the moment, but there is one strong storm located over Falkville in Morgan County.

The latest HRRR model run has the activity moving out of the area later this evening. A few scattered light showers are possible during the overnight hours, but I do not see anything that would become strong or severe.

Back to our northwest in the SPC has much of Illinois and Illinois, along with parts of Missouri and Kentucky under a “Moderate Risk” for severe storms. A widespread area of severe thunderstorms is expected to develop from parts of the lower Mississippi Valley to the Ohio Valley through tonight. Main threats will be from some strong tornadoes (especially across portions of the lower and middle Ohio Valley), large hail, and damaging winds.

A Tornado Watch is currently in effect for the southern parts of Missouri and the southwestern parts of Illinois until 9PM tonight. As of now, only two Severe Thunderstorm Warnings are in effect for portions of Missouri.

Category: Alabama's Weather