A Few Showers Along The Front Tonight
NO DROUGHT RELIEF: New drought monitor data this morning shows an expanding area of exceptional/severe drought across Alabama…
Let’s make it perfectly clear… if we do see a few showers along tonight’s cold front over North Alabama, it will be pretty much insignificant when it comes to the exceptional drought in place. But, at least a few neighborhoods might see a raindrop or two. Best chance of a shower is north of U.S. 278 (Hamilton to Cullman to Gadsden) from 9 p.m. to 2 a.m.
Showers pretty much dry up before reaching I-20 after midnight.
TOMORROW THROUGH THE WEEKEND: A nice change to cooler weather; we project sunny pleasant days, and clear cool nights. Highs in the 70s, lows in the 40s. A good chance tomorrow will be the 47th consecutive day without measurable rain for Birmingham, getting very close to the record of 52 days set in 1924. We should tie that record Wednesday of next week, and break it Thursday (November 10).
TIME CHANGE: Don’t forget we go back on standard time this weekend… set the clocks back one hour before you go to bed Saturday night. On Sunday, sunrise will come at 6:11a CST, and sunset will be at 4:50p CST.
FOOTBALL WEATHER: For round one of the high school playoff games tomorrow night, the weather will be clear and very cool with temperatures falling into the 50s.
Auburn will host Vanderbilt Saturday (11a CT kickoff)… it will be a perfect day for football with a sunny sky… temperatures will climb from 67 at kickoff, to near 72 by the fourth quarter.
Alabama will be on the road; they play LSU Saturday night (7p CT kickoff)… the sky will be clear with temperatures falling through the 60s. A great night for football.
NEXT WEEK: The new GFS (12Z run) puts rain back on the table late in the week with a very deep upper trough approaching from the west, but the European model remains bone dry, and we will stick with that solution since it performs better in the medium range.
We will need to wait until the mid-month pattern flip before meaningful rain returns to Alabama, most likely…
An interesting analog to this year is 2000; temperatures were well above average in October with most days in the 80s and only 1.26″ of rain. Then, after a mid-November pattern flip, we had a big severe weather event in December (December 16), followed by bitterly cold air. Not saying this will happen this year, but just an interesting observation.
AT THE BEACH: Sunny days, fair nights through next week from Panama City Beach to Gulf Shores… highs generally in the 70s. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.
TROPICS: A disturbance in the middle of the Atlantic has a small chance of development, but is moving northeast and no threat to land. The rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet.
WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.
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I had a great time today visiting with 3rd graders at Englewood Elementary School… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…
Category: Alabama's Weather